While midterm elections are 8 months away, primary season kicked off last night in Texas (the first primary of the 2022 election cycle). Even with only one primary being held, there are some signals that can be discerned from the data at this point. In assessing the extent of a possible partisan shift, JMC prefers […]
Archive | National Politics
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2020: Georgia U.S. Senate Runoff Polls
Georgia is a state that best exemplifies the tension between both the “new South” and the “old South.” A generation ago, the continuously booming suburbs in and around Atlanta brought Republicanism to this once solidly Democratic state (which was one of a handful of states to stick with Jimmy Carter in his 1980 landslide defeat […]
Decision 2020: Did the pollsters get it right (or wrong) this time?
As the 2020 Presidential election cycle (with the notable exceptions of two Senate runoffs in Georgia and Congressional certification of the Electoral College vote for President) concludes, the discussion that occurs every four years of whether pollsters “missed the mark” on the Presidential election results has returned front and center to the political discourse. Let’s […]
Decision 2020: JMC’s Post Election Day thoughts
Given the votes being reported so far in the Presidential race, the Presidential election has been decided in favor of former Vice-President Joe Biden, who has the necessary 270 electoral votes to win. What are some national (and local) takeaways from this election ? Very high turnout election: In 2016, nearly 137 million voted in […]
Decision 2020: JMC’s “Election Soundbites” (October 27 edition)
We are now in the home stretch of the 2020 Presidential election cycle. Today is the last day to early vote in Louisiana (Louisiana’s early voting has seen record numbers – more on that later), and other states will similarly conclude their early voting this week. Given that we are nearing the end, JMC will […]
Decision 2020 – “Two day warning” for early voting (Are ONE million early voters possible in Louisiana?)
Ever since its introduction nearly 15 years ago, Louisianians are increasingly choosing to vote before Election Day. Adding to that tendency has been the coronavirus pandemic, as voter access both to early and mail in voting has been expanded this year. So what have eight days of early voting told us ? Continued record early […]
Decision 2020 – Day 1 of Early Voting (Very long lines, social distancing, and record turnout)
Increasingly, Louisianians are choosing to vote before Election Day. Adding to that tendency has been the coronavirus pandemic, as voter access both to early and mail in voting has been expanded this year. So what did the first day of early voting tell us ? Record early voting turnout, which benefitted Democrats In recent election […]
Decision 2020: JMC’s “Election Soundbites” (October 10 edition)
With both first Presidential and the Vice-Presidential debates completed and Election Day just over three weeks away (in six days, in person early voting starts in Louisiana), election season continues to move at an accelerated pace. Given that accelerated pace, JMC will in this article discuss the current atmospherics of the election cycle by focusing […]
Decision 2020: JMC’s “Election Soundbites” (October 4 edition)
With the first Presidential debate completed and Election Day just over four weeks away, election season continues to move at an accelerated pace. Given that accelerated pace, JMC will in this article discuss the current atmospherics of the election cycle by focusing both on early voting and available polling. Discussion Point #1: Not “Election DAY”, […]
Decision 2020: JMC’s “Election Soundbites” (September 27 edition)
While Election Day is just over five weeks away, election season is (with the first Presidential debate two days away) moving at an accelerated pace. Given that accelerated pace, JMC will in this article discuss the current atmospherics of the election cycle by focusing on early voting and (to a lesser extent) available polling. Discussion […]