Now that the 2024 Presidential election cycle is in the past, the discussion that occurs every election cycle of whether pollsters “missed the mark” with regards to the Presidential election results is worth bringing up now. Let’s look at the data to evaluate whether or not pollsters “got it wrong” again. JMC did similar analyses […]
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RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2024: JMC’s “Election Soundbites” (October 19 edition)
Introduction Early voting is underway in Louisiana (and concludes on Tuesday, 10/29), and the end is in sight. Currently, 21 states are undergoing in person voting, and Election Day just over two weeks away. Given that we’re going into the final stretch of the campaign, what has been going on (from a polling perspective) with […]
Decision 2024: JMC’s “Election Soundbites” (October 11 edition)
Introduction We are in the midst of election season now; in fact, people are already voting in 44 states – that we know about, and Election Day is just over three weeks away (in person early voting starts in Louisiana next Friday). Given that we’re going into the final stretch of the campaign, what has been […]
Decision 2024: JMC’s “Election Soundbites” (August 23 edition)
Introduction Now that the Democratic convention is over, we are now officially in the “final sprint” to Election Day. Primary season has nearly concluded (Alaska, Florida, and Wyoming held their primaries this past Tuesday), which means now that only five states have not yet held their primaries. Four of those five contests will be held […]
Decision 2024: JMC’s “Election Soundbites” (August 10 edition)
Introduction The Olympics (which concludes tomorrow) are coming to a close, and the Democratic convention in Chicago commences in 9 days. The Democrats finally have their ticket determined, as Kamala Harris chose Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate. On the Congressional/statewide primary circuit, four more states (Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, and Washington) held their […]
Decision 2024 – Day 1 of Early Voting (Is mail in voting “a thing” now ?)
Ever since early voting was established in Louisiana nearly 20 years ago, it has steadily become an accepted method of voting, and it has reshuffled existing assumptions about how to plan “get out the vote” activities. The coronavirus pandemic of 2020-2022 added a nuance to the “accepted method of voting”, however, as mail in voting […]
Decision 2022: Did the pollsters get it right (or wrong) this time?
With the 2022 midterms’ now being in the rearview mirror, the performance of pollsters is again in the limelight. In this case, the conventional wisdom is that the polls overestimated Republican performance and led people to believe that this would be a “red wave” election when instead, the 2022 midterms were a “split decision”: Republicans […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 11/7 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
Polls open across America in a few hours as this article is being published. More than 44 million early voted (372K did in Louisiana), and as this final scorecard is being written for the 2022 midterm election cycle, control of the Senate remains tight, but polling trends have demonstrably been moving in once direction since […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 11/1 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
America is now in the home stretch: just an hour ago (as this article is being published), Louisiana was the first state to have concluded its in person early voting, and other states will shortly follow Louisiana’s lead. And with a week to go, control of the Senate remains tight, but polling trends have demonstrably […]
Decision 2022 – Day 5/7 of Early Voting (mail driven, “crawfish red” voter turnout)
Ever since early voting was established in Louisiana over 15 years ago, it has steadily become an accepted method of voting. The coronavirus pandemic added a twist to HOW people voted before Election Day, with mail in voting becoming a “third actor” in addition to in person early voting and traditional Election Day voting. Now […]