JMC was recently commissioned to poll both the Governor and Attorney General’s races. Major takeaways are as follows: 1. In the Governor’s race, two candidates clearly lead the field (although the primary is still nearly seven months away); 2. In the Attorney General’s race, District Attorney John Belton’s biography is attractive to voters. The actual […]
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Decision 2023/2024 – JMC Podcast (Governor/President)
Former East Baton Rouge Parish School Board President David Tatman (who also owns his own lobbying firm) has a podcast called “The Pelican Brief.” John Couvillon was a recent guest, and he was interviewed about both the 2023 Louisiana Governor’s race and the 2024 Presidential primary contests. His interview can be found here: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/louisiana-will-have-a-new-governor-in-2024-tune-in/id1668687539?i=1000602397941
Decision 2022: Did the pollsters get it right (or wrong) this time?
With the 2022 midterms’ now being in the rearview mirror, the performance of pollsters is again in the limelight. In this case, the conventional wisdom is that the polls overestimated Republican performance and led people to believe that this would be a “red wave” election when instead, the 2022 midterms were a “split decision”: Republicans […]
Louisiana Climate Change/Solutions Statewide Poll
Louisiana is a state that is the epicenter of the climate change debate in two different ways: (1) a large part of its economy is tied to oil, gas, and petrochemical production; (2) as a state with a considerable amount of wetlands along its coast, it is especially vulnerable to hurricanes and/or the rise in […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 11/7 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
Polls open across America in a few hours as this article is being published. More than 44 million early voted (372K did in Louisiana), and as this final scorecard is being written for the 2022 midterm election cycle, control of the Senate remains tight, but polling trends have demonstrably been moving in once direction since […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 11/1 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
America is now in the home stretch: just an hour ago (as this article is being published), Louisiana was the first state to have concluded its in person early voting, and other states will shortly follow Louisiana’s lead. And with a week to go, control of the Senate remains tight, but polling trends have demonstrably […]
Decision 2022 – Day 5/7 of Early Voting (mail driven, “crawfish red” voter turnout)
Ever since early voting was established in Louisiana over 15 years ago, it has steadily become an accepted method of voting. The coronavirus pandemic added a twist to HOW people voted before Election Day, with mail in voting becoming a “third actor” in addition to in person early voting and traditional Election Day voting. Now […]
Decision 2022 – Day 1 of Early Voting (Steady lines, and (maybe ?) high turnout)
Ever since early voting was established in Louisiana over 15 years ago, it has steadily become an accepted method of voting. The coronavirus pandemic added a nuance to the “accepted method of voting”, as mail in voting has seen a surge in popularity that has not returned to pre-2020 levels. So, what did the first […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/23 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
America can now start to count down the 16 days until Election Day, as individual states are steadily coming online with early voting (early voting in Louisiana begins this Tuesday and lasts until November 1). We also have a steady volume of polling that we can use to make assessments on where races are heading […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/16 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
America is now in the “3rd Quarter” with the 2022 midterm elections, as individual states are steadily coming online with early voting (early voting in Louisiana begins on October 25 and lasts until November 1). We also have a steady volume of polling that we can use to make assessments on where races are heading […]