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Decision 2018 – Conclusion of Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting concluded yesterday in Louisiana (mail in absentees can still be accepted up to the day before Election Day). What did early voting this election cycle tell us? Low (but not the lowest ever) voter enthusiasm Early voting started off with a whimper, and while the volume picked up somewhat after that […]

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Decision 2018 – “Halftime Report” for Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

We are now past the midway point for in person early voting for the December 8 runoff – four days’ worth of early voting are in the rear view mirror, with three more days (today/Thursday, Friday, and Saturday) to go. What has four days of early voting told us? From minimal to low voter enthusiasm […]

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Decision 2018: A Mississippi US Senate Race Post-Mortem

The last Senate race has been decided, and Republicans now have a 53-47 majority in that chamber (for a net gain of two seats), thanks to a 54-46% victory (with 99% of the vote counted) in the Mississippi special election race. Now that this race is over (in the House, there is only one more […]

Decision 2018 – First day of Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting started yesterday for the December 8 runoff. The special election runoff for Secretary of State is at the top of the ballot (all Congressional races were settled in November without the need for a runoff), with various runoff races (a state representative race in Slidell,  School Board races, tax issues, and […]

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Decision 2018 – Conclusion of in person early voting in Louisiana

Early voting finished last night (mail in absentees can still be accepted up to the day before Election Day), and it was a record breaker in several ways. What did early voting this year tell us? Strong turnout/Newton’s Third Law As of last night, a record 307,237 have either early voted by person or by […]

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Decision 2018 – “Halftime Report” for Early Voting in Louisiana

We are now at the midway point for in person early voting, now that three days’ worth of early voting in the rear view mirror, with four more days (today/Friday, Saturday, Monday, and Tuesday) to go. What has three days of early voting told us? Turnout remains strong The first day of in person early […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/12 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

In the last Senate scorecard published two weeks ago, JMC noted that Republicans’ chances continued to improve to the point that they could feel better about their chances of maintaining their Senate majority. Now that early voting is almost all “full steam ahead” (only parts of Florida and Oklahoma have yet to start in person […]

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Decision 2018 – (First Day of) Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting is now underway for the 2018 midterm elections in Louisiana and will continue until next Tuesday, October 30 (after which, mail in absentee ballots will be accepted for another week). What did yesterday’s early vote tell us ? High early voting turnout, but…… Only two times have examining the first day’s […]

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Decision 2018: Georgia 6th Congressional District Poll

Historically, the Atlanta suburbs (particularly those suburbs to the north, northeast, and northwest of Atlanta proper) have been thought of as a Republican stronghold, and in the 1990s, the 6th Congressional district was redrawn by the Democratic legislature for former Congressman Newt Gingrich to concentrate the Republican vote in that part of the state so […]

Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/18 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

In the run up to the November elections, JMC has been assessing the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC has noted that over the last generation (roughly around the beginning of the Clinton administration), substantial numbers of “straight ticket” voters have […]

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