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Decision 2018: Georgia 6th Congressional District Poll

Historically, the Atlanta suburbs (particularly those suburbs to the north, northeast, and northwest of Atlanta proper) have been thought of as a Republican stronghold, and in the 1990s, the 6th Congressional district was redrawn by the Democratic legislature for former Congressman Newt Gingrich to concentrate the Republican vote in that part of the state so […]

Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/18 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

In the run up to the November elections, JMC has been assessing the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC has noted that over the last generation (roughly around the beginning of the Clinton administration), substantial numbers of “straight ticket” voters have […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/12 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

In last week’s scorecard, JMC Analytics and Polling noted that the aftermath of the Kavanaugh Supreme Court hearings brought a “second wind” to Republican candidacies in several tight Senate races; more specifically, Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota fell substantially behind for the first time, thus making Republicans’ maintaining control of the Senate a […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/9 Statehouse scorecard – The Road To 26

As part of its pre-election analysis, JMC Analytics and Polling has been examining verifiable election data (like polling and primary election results) to make assessments of Congressional races. However, what goes on at the statewide level is important as well, since governors have the ability to help shape policy. And given that this is generally […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/4 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

Last week, JMC Analytics and Polling brought back the Scorecard for Senate races, and that scorecard showed Republicans with a plurality lead in Senate races. Has anything changed since last week ? First, let’s talk about the criteria JMC uses to score each of the 35 Senate races on the ballot this year: Scorecard Criteria […]

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Decision 2018: (Special Election) Secretary of State poll

This November, the Secretary of State’s race is on the ballot, due to the May resignation of Tom Schedler. Upon Schedler’s resignation, his first assistant (Kyle Ardoin) then assumed office. He (Ardoin) decided at the end of qualifying to run for the job, and he is being joined by eight other candidates. JMC was commissioned […]

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Decision 2018: (Partial) Appeals Court Race poll for Ouachita Parish

Last year in an appeals court race covering all or parts of five parishes in Northeast Louisiana, Independent “Jimbo” Stephens defeated a Republican candidate 52-48%. The same GOP candidate (Judge Sharon Marchman) is seeking a rematch. JMC was commissioned to poll the Ouachita Parish precincts in the district, since Judge Marchman carried the Ouachita precincts 62-38% […]

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Decision 2018: (Partial) Appeals Court Race poll (Old version)

Last year in an appeals court race covering all or parts of five parishes in Northeast Louisiana, Independent “Jimbo” Stephens defeated a Republican candidate 52-48%. The same GOP candidate (Judge Sharon Marchman) is seeking a rematch. JMC was commissioned to poll the Ouachita Parish precincts in the district, since Judge Marchman carried the Ouachita precincts 62-38% […]

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Decision 2018: Tennessee Governor GOP Primary Poll

Tennessee is a Southern state whose partisan divisions were once so predictable that ordinary citizens could recite them by heart (East Tennessee was Republican since the Civil War, Middle Tennessee was “Andrew Jackson Democratic”, and Western Tennessee was an extension of the Deep South (and, therefore, formerly Democratic)). Suburbanization around Nashville, combined with a general […]

Decision 2018: Is a Democratic wave forming (or dissipating)?

Politically, the 2018 election season is in “half time” right now: as of June 26, 30 states have held their primaries, and primary season doesn’t resume until the Tennessee primary on August 2 (although there are party runoffs in Alabama and Georgia over the next two weeks). There has recently been talk about the Democratic […]

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