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Decision 2018: Watching for Blue (or Red) Waves

Now that Labor Day has passed, political season has truly begun. And ever since January, JMC has been continuously analyzing political data to make a proper assessment of this year’s political climate. And with only the Louisiana primary (November 6 primary/December 8 runoff) remaining, this would be a good time to revisit the “state of […]

Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday IV” (Another “Blue Night?”)

After a month’s hiatus, primary season has returned, with four states holding primaries last night, and one state (Ohio) holding a Congressional special election. And again, evidence of a surge in Democratic enthusiasm was evident last night in each and every contest. Ohio CD 12 Special Election This is the last of the Congressional special […]

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Decision 2018: Kansas Governor GOP Primary Poll

Kansas is a state where it is said has three parties: a Democratic party, a “moderate Republican” party, and a “conservative Republican” party. Therefore, the more interesting contests tend to take place within the August Republican primary (the last voter registration statistics are from 2016 and show Republicans with a 44-25% voter registration plurality). There […]

Decision 2018: Michigan Governor GOP Primary Poll

Michigan is a Midwestern state with a split political personality. While it steadily voted Democratic for President from 1992 to 2012, it also consistently voted Republican between 1968 and 1988, and it was one of three “Blue Wall” states that surprised many people on Election Night 2016 when it voted for Trump by 10,700 votes. […]

Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday III”, and waiting on California III

While June 5 was a “Superbowl of primaries” (eight primaries were held three weeks ago across the country from New Jersey to California), last night was an important primary night as well, with five states (from New York to Utah) holding primaries, and South Carolina/Mississippi holding runoffs. As with all multistate primary nights, JMC will […]

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Decision 2018: Ohio CD 12 (special election) poll

While the state of Ohio nearly always goes with the winning Presidential candidate, the 12th Congressional District (which is located in the middle of the state and consists of areas north and east of Columbus) is a Republican district. Its Republicanism, however, is more white collar in nature, and would by today’s standards be considered […]

Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday II”, and waiting on California II

While June 5 was a “Superbowl of primaries” (eight primaries were held last week across the country from New Jersey to California), last night was an important primary night as well, with five states (from Maine to Nevada) holding primaries. And just like with last week’s article, JMC will focus separately on each state for […]

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Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday”, and waiting on California

Last night was the “Superbowl of primaries”, with eight primaries held across the country from New Jersey to California. And it was generally a good night for Democrats, particularly in California. Given the number of contests, JMC will focus separately on each state for the next few paragraphs. New Jersey There is a “good news/bad […]

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Decision 2018: “Red South” vs “Bluer South”

Three more states – all in the South – held primaries last night: Arkansas, Georgia, and Kentucky. Since there were no statewide races in Kentucky (only partisan Congressional primaries), JMC will focus the rest of the discussion on what went on in Arkansas and Georgia. Ever since Reconstruction, the South has been thought of as […]

Decision 2018: Texas statewide poll

In national, state, and local elections, there is hardly a more Republican-friendly state than Texas, which hasn’t voted Democratic for President since 1976 and for Governor since 1990. In statewide elections, it has only voted for Republicans for the last two decades. starting with the 1998 re-election landslide of (then) Governor George W. Bush. With […]