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Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday IV” (Another “Blue Night?”)

After a month’s hiatus, primary season has returned, with four states holding primaries last night, and one state (Ohio) holding a Congressional special election. And again, evidence of a surge in Democratic enthusiasm was evident last night in each and every contest. Ohio CD 12 Special Election This is the last of the Congressional special […]

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Decision 2018: “Red South” vs “Bluer South”

Three more states – all in the South – held primaries last night: Arkansas, Georgia, and Kentucky. Since there were no statewide races in Kentucky (only partisan Congressional primaries), JMC will focus the rest of the discussion on what went on in Arkansas and Georgia. Ever since Reconstruction, the South has been thought of as […]

2017 Louisiana Census Estimates and Congressional Redistricting

Earlier today, JMC Analytics and Polling analyzed the July 1, 2017 Census estimates by parish for Louisiana and briefly discussed the political impacts of population shifts since the 2010 Census. This analysis will focus on a practical application of those revised population estimates: the impact on each of Louisiana’s six Congressional districts. As with any redistricting […]

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2017 Louisiana Census Estimates By Parish

While the US Census (which was last taken on April 1, 2010) is formally conducted every 10 years, the Census Bureau periodically posts population estimates for each county/parish. Earlier today, July 1, 2017 population estimates were released for each of Louisiana’s 64 parishes. What do these population estimates tell us ? For decades, Louisiana’s rate […]

Louisiana voter registration trends/are Independents on the rise?

JMC Analytics and Polling periodically analyzes voter registration data updated on a monthly basis by the Secretary of State as a means of staying abreast of demographic/population trends in Louisiana.  According to the most recent (January 1, 2018) statistical report, statewide voter registration (both active and inactive voters) was 2.98 million, a number that has […]

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Demographic analysis of the 2016 flood in East Baton Rouge Parish – 17 months later

In August 2016, much of south Louisiana faced massive flooding. In its aftermath, JMC analyzed changes in voter registration both statewide and in East Baton Rouge Parish (voter registration counts were used as a proxy for population change, since recent Census estimates are not yet available) to assess whether the flood’s demographic impact was as […]

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Decision 2017: A (runoff) post mortem

The 2017 election cycle in Louisiana has concluded with last night’s runoffs, and Republican former state representative John Schroder is now State Treasurer. However, his 56-44% victory was identical to the margin that Republican Bill Cassidy defeated Mary Landrieu in the 2014 runoffs. There was a unique set of circumstances at play leading to this […]

Decision 2017 – “3rd Quarter Report” of Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting is now underway for the November 18 runoff, with two days remaining – due to the Veterans Day holiday’s being tomorrow, an extra day of early voting (Friday, November 3) was added at the beginning. As before, the special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot, as are […]

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Decision 2017 – (First two days of) Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting started two days ago for the November 18 runoff – due to the Veterans Day holiday’s being on an early voting date (Friday, November 10), an extra day of early voting (Friday, November 3) was added. As before, the special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot, as […]

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Decision 2017: A post mortem

The October 14 primary election has concluded, and Louisiana’s next Treasurer will either be Democratic attorney Derrick Edwards or Republican former (he resigned his seat in June) state representative John Schroder (both face each other in the November 18 runoff). Below is a summary of last night’s election/turnout data, as well as some observations gained […]