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Decision 2018 – (First Day of) Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting is now underway for the 2018 midterm elections in Louisiana and will continue until next Tuesday, October 30 (after which, mail in absentee ballots will be accepted for another week). What did yesterday’s early vote tell us ? High early voting turnout, but…… Only two times have examining the first day’s […]

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Decision 2018: Georgia 7th Congressional District Poll

Historically, the Atlanta suburbs have been thought of as a Republican stronghold. However, the political winds noticeably shifted there (and in other white collar suburban constituencies in states like Texas and Arizona) during the 2016 Presidential elections. In a bipartisan and joint polling engagement conducted independently of any campaign or organization, JMC Analytics and Polling teamed […]

Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/12 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

In last week’s scorecard, JMC Analytics and Polling noted that the aftermath of the Kavanaugh Supreme Court hearings brought a “second wind” to Republican candidacies in several tight Senate races; more specifically, Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota fell substantially behind for the first time, thus making Republicans’ maintaining control of the Senate a […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/9 Statehouse scorecard – The Road To 26

As part of its pre-election analysis, JMC Analytics and Polling has been examining verifiable election data (like polling and primary election results) to make assessments of Congressional races. However, what goes on at the statewide level is important as well, since governors have the ability to help shape policy. And given that this is generally […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/5 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

11 days ago, JMC assessed the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC considered the electoral reality that the “split ticket” voter (i.e, a voter who supports candidates from different parties for Presidential and “downballot” races such as Congressional races) has been […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/24 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

How stable is GOP control of the US House of Representatives, now that midterm elections are six weeks away? To objectively answer this question, JMC has evaluated all House districts that are in (or can be put into) play by using a combination of election and polling data. To put JMC’s analysis in proper context, […]

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Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday IV” (Another “Blue Night?”)

After a month’s hiatus, primary season has returned, with four states holding primaries last night, and one state (Ohio) holding a Congressional special election. And again, evidence of a surge in Democratic enthusiasm was evident last night in each and every contest. Ohio CD 12 Special Election This is the last of the Congressional special […]

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Decision 2018: “Red South” vs “Bluer South”

Three more states – all in the South – held primaries last night: Arkansas, Georgia, and Kentucky. Since there were no statewide races in Kentucky (only partisan Congressional primaries), JMC will focus the rest of the discussion on what went on in Arkansas and Georgia. Ever since Reconstruction, the South has been thought of as […]

2017 Louisiana Census Estimates and Congressional Redistricting

Earlier today, JMC Analytics and Polling analyzed the July 1, 2017 Census estimates by parish for Louisiana and briefly discussed the political impacts of population shifts since the 2010 Census. This analysis will focus on a practical application of those revised population estimates: the impact on each of Louisiana’s six Congressional districts. As with any redistricting […]

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2017 Louisiana Census Estimates By Parish

While the US Census (which was last taken on April 1, 2010) is formally conducted every 10 years, the Census Bureau periodically posts population estimates for each county/parish. Earlier today, July 1, 2017 population estimates were released for each of Louisiana’s 64 parishes. What do these population estimates tell us ? For decades, Louisiana’s rate […]