After one term in office as Governor of Arkansas, Bill Clinton was defeated when he ran for re-election in 1980. Experts attributed his upset loss to “three Cs” – (1) car tags (Governor Clinton substantially increased the license plate fees in his first term), (2) Cubans (after Fidel Castro allowed over 100,000 Cubans to emigrate […]
Archive | Demographics
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2019: Comparing John Bel Edwards’ (2019) and Mary Landrieu’s (2002) races
Picture this runoff scenario: an incumbent statewide Democrat who according to conventional wisdom would win in the primary, and who bragged about voting with the President 74% of the time. Yet on primary day, this incumbent Democrat received 46% of the vote. The second place finisher/runoff opponent was a Republican who received 27% of the […]
Decision 2019 – Conclusion of in person early voting in Louisiana
In person early voting concluded last night (mail in absentees can still be accepted up to the day before Election Day), and it broke some records. What did early voting this year tell us? Strong turnout As of last night, 374,190 Louisianians either early voted by person or by mail in ballot (340,480 in person, […]
Decision 2019–Day 1 of Louisiana Early Voting – Thanks,Coach O!
In person early voting is now underway for the 2019 statewide elections in Louisiana and will continue until next Saturday, October 5 (after which, mail in absentee ballots will be accepted for another week). What did yesterday’s early vote tell us ? Near record early voting turnout, but…… Twice in recent election cycles, examining the […]
Decision 2019: JMC’s guide to 2019 Legislative Elections in Louisiana
Louisiana is one of three states (Mississippi and Kentucky are the others) who have statewide elections this year. And while the Governor’s race will certainly be competitive (as evidenced by this recent JMC poll), races for the state legislature are a similarly important part of the political landscape. Historically, Democratic dominance in Louisiana was exemplified […]
2018 Louisiana Census Estimates and Congressional Redistricting
While the US Census (which was last taken on April 1, 2010) is formally conducted every 10 years, the Census Bureau periodically posts population estimates for each county/parish. Recently, the July 1, 2018 population estimates were released for each of Louisiana’s 64 parishes. What do these population estimates tell us ? Slower population growth: For […]
Decision 2018 – Conclusion of Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana
In person early voting concluded yesterday in Louisiana (mail in absentees can still be accepted up to the day before Election Day). What did early voting this election cycle tell us? Low (but not the lowest ever) voter enthusiasm Early voting started off with a whimper, and while the volume picked up somewhat after that […]
Decision 2018 – “Halftime Report” for Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana
We are now past the midway point for in person early voting for the December 8 runoff – four days’ worth of early voting are in the rear view mirror, with three more days (today/Thursday, Friday, and Saturday) to go. What has four days of early voting told us? From minimal to low voter enthusiasm […]
Decision 2018 – (First Day of) Early Voting in Louisiana
In person early voting is now underway for the 2018 midterm elections in Louisiana and will continue until next Tuesday, October 30 (after which, mail in absentee ballots will be accepted for another week). What did yesterday’s early vote tell us ? High early voting turnout, but…… Only two times have examining the first day’s […]
Decision 2018: Georgia 7th Congressional District Poll
Historically, the Atlanta suburbs have been thought of as a Republican stronghold. However, the political winds noticeably shifted there (and in other white collar suburban constituencies in states like Texas and Arizona) during the 2016 Presidential elections. In a bipartisan and joint polling engagement conducted independently of any campaign or organization, JMC Analytics and Polling teamed […]