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Decision 2018 – Conclusion of in person early voting in Louisiana

Early voting finished last night (mail in absentees can still be accepted up to the day before Election Day), and it was a record breaker in several ways. What did early voting this year tell us? Strong turnout/Newton’s Third Law As of last night, a record 307,237 have either early voted by person or by […]

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Decision 2018 – “Halftime Report” for Early Voting in Louisiana

We are now at the midway point for in person early voting, now that three days’ worth of early voting in the rear view mirror, with four more days (today/Friday, Saturday, Monday, and Tuesday) to go. What has three days of early voting told us? Turnout remains strong The first day of in person early […]

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Decision 2018: (Special Election) Secretary of State’s race poll

A special election is being called this fall for the Louisiana Secretary of State, as Tom Schedler (who held the office ever since Jay Dardenne was elected Lt Governor in 2010) recently resigned that position in the wake of allegations that he had sexually harassed his secretary. This race will be on the November ballot […]

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2017 Louisiana Census Estimates and Congressional Redistricting

Earlier today, JMC Analytics and Polling analyzed the July 1, 2017 Census estimates by parish for Louisiana and briefly discussed the political impacts of population shifts since the 2010 Census. This analysis will focus on a practical application of those revised population estimates: the impact on each of Louisiana’s six Congressional districts. As with any redistricting […]

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2017 Louisiana Census Estimates By Parish

While the US Census (which was last taken on April 1, 2010) is formally conducted every 10 years, the Census Bureau periodically posts population estimates for each county/parish. Earlier today, July 1, 2017 population estimates were released for each of Louisiana’s 64 parishes. What do these population estimates tell us ? For decades, Louisiana’s rate […]

Demographic analysis of the 2016 flood in East Baton Rouge Parish – 17 months later

In August 2016, much of south Louisiana faced massive flooding. In its aftermath, JMC analyzed changes in voter registration both statewide and in East Baton Rouge Parish (voter registration counts were used as a proxy for population change, since recent Census estimates are not yet available) to assess whether the flood’s demographic impact was as […]

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Decision 2017: A (runoff) post mortem

The 2017 election cycle in Louisiana has concluded with last night’s runoffs, and Republican former state representative John Schroder is now State Treasurer. However, his 56-44% victory was identical to the margin that Republican Bill Cassidy defeated Mary Landrieu in the 2014 runoffs. There was a unique set of circumstances at play leading to this […]

Decision 2017 – “3rd Quarter Report” of Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting is now underway for the November 18 runoff, with two days remaining – due to the Veterans Day holiday’s being tomorrow, an extra day of early voting (Friday, November 3) was added at the beginning. As before, the special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot, as are […]

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Decision 2017 – (First two days of) Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting started two days ago for the November 18 runoff – due to the Veterans Day holiday’s being on an early voting date (Friday, November 10), an extra day of early voting (Friday, November 3) was added. As before, the special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot, as […]

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Decision 2017: A post mortem

The October 14 primary election has concluded, and Louisiana’s next Treasurer will either be Democratic attorney Derrick Edwards or Republican former (he resigned his seat in June) state representative John Schroder (both face each other in the November 18 runoff). Below is a summary of last night’s election/turnout data, as well as some observations gained […]