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Decision 2022: Did the pollsters get it right (or wrong) this time?

With the 2022 midterms’ now being in the rearview mirror, the performance of pollsters is again in the limelight. In this case, the conventional wisdom is that the polls overestimated Republican performance and led people to believe that this would be a “red wave” election when instead, the 2022 midterms were a “split decision”: Republicans […]

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Louisiana Climate Change/Solutions Statewide Poll

Louisiana is a state that is the epicenter of the climate change debate in two different ways: (1) a large part of its economy is tied to oil, gas, and petrochemical production; (2) as a state with a considerable amount of wetlands along its coast, it is especially vulnerable to hurricanes and/or the rise in […]

Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 11/7 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)

Polls open across America in a few hours as this article is being published. More than 44 million early voted (372K did in Louisiana), and as this final scorecard is being written for the 2022 midterm election cycle, control of the Senate remains tight, but polling trends have demonstrably been moving in once direction since […]

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Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 11/1 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)

America is now in the home stretch: just an hour ago (as this article is being published), Louisiana was the first state to have concluded its in person early voting, and other states will shortly follow Louisiana’s lead. And with a week to go, control of the Senate remains tight, but polling trends have demonstrably […]

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Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/16 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)

America is now in the “3rd Quarter” with the 2022 midterm elections, as individual states are steadily coming online with early voting (early voting in Louisiana begins on October 25 and lasts until November 1). We also have a steady volume of polling that we can use to make assessments on where races are heading […]

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Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/16 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)

Now that every state but Louisiana has held its primary (Louisiana’s primary is on the same day as the national general election on November 8), election season is officially underway. Before looking at House and/or Governors races, JMC wanted to “get current” with Senate race polling. Scorecard Criteria Publicly available polling data for all Senate […]

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Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/12 US Senate scorecard (The Road To 51)

Now that election season is here (technically, three more states – and Louisiana on November 8 – have yet to hold their primaries), JMC Analytics and Polling is focusing on how House, Senate, and Governor’s races are going. This article will focus on the Senate races. Background Theoretically, this should be a good year for […]

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Decision 2022: Is a Republican wave forming? (June 29 update)

The 2022 midterm election cycle has now passed the halfway point, with 29 states’ having conducted their primaries. Candidate qualifying has also concluded in 48 states – only Delaware and Louisiana are left. Ever since JMC has been following the primary calendar starting with the Texas primary on March 2, his observation about this being […]

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Decision 2022: Is a Republican wave forming? (May 17 update)

Despite a slow start, the 2022 midterm primary season is well underway, and last night’s series of five primaries means that 10 states have chosen their party’s nominees for the November elections. And as primary season unfolds (19 more states will be holding their primaries between next Tuesday and June 28), there are additional signals […]

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Louisiana 2021 Marijuana Poll Part II (Poll of 9 House Districts)

Louisiana has a reputation for being a conservative state, and that reputation is particularly accurate if social/lifestyle issues are involved. One of those “lifestyle issues” is liberalization of marijuana laws, and the extent to which voters want to relax those laws is an issue JMC has polled several times in Louisiana and once in Michigan […]

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