As part of its pre-election analysis, JMC Analytics and Polling has been examining verifiable election data (like polling and primary election results) to make assessments of Congressional races. However, what goes on at the statewide level is important as well, since governors have the ability to help shape policy. And given that this is generally […]
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RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/5 US House scorecard – The Road To 218
11 days ago, JMC assessed the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC considered the electoral reality that the “split ticket” voter (i.e, a voter who supports candidates from different parties for Presidential and “downballot” races such as Congressional races) has been […]
Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/4 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51
Last week, JMC Analytics and Polling brought back the Scorecard for Senate races, and that scorecard showed Republicans with a plurality lead in Senate races. Has anything changed since last week ? First, let’s talk about the criteria JMC uses to score each of the 35 Senate races on the ballot this year: Scorecard Criteria […]
Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/27 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51
Now that election season is here, JMC Analytics and Polling is focusing on how House, Senate, and Governor’s races are going. Recently, US House races were analyzed. This article will focus on the Senate races. Background Theoretically, this should be a good year for GOP Senate candidates, given that Democrats have had an lengthy string […]
Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/24 US House scorecard – The Road To 218
How stable is GOP control of the US House of Representatives, now that midterm elections are six weeks away? To objectively answer this question, JMC has evaluated all House districts that are in (or can be put into) play by using a combination of election and polling data. To put JMC’s analysis in proper context, […]
Decision 2018: Michigan Marijuana Ballot Proposal
This November, Michigan voters will have a chance to vote on Proposal 1, which is a proposal to legalize recreational marijuana for those who are 21 years old or over. JMC was commissioned to conduct this poll by private subscribers. The poll can be viewed here, and there are two main takeaways: (1) the ballot […]
Decision 2018: (Partial) Appeals Court Race poll for Ouachita Parish
Last year in an appeals court race covering all or parts of five parishes in Northeast Louisiana, Independent “Jimbo” Stephens defeated a Republican candidate 52-48%. The same GOP candidate (Judge Sharon Marchman) is seeking a rematch. JMC was commissioned to poll the Ouachita Parish precincts in the district, since Judge Marchman carried the Ouachita precincts 62-38% […]
Decision 2018: (Partial) Appeals Court Race poll (Old version)
Last year in an appeals court race covering all or parts of five parishes in Northeast Louisiana, Independent “Jimbo” Stephens defeated a Republican candidate 52-48%. The same GOP candidate (Judge Sharon Marchman) is seeking a rematch. JMC was commissioned to poll the Ouachita Parish precincts in the district, since Judge Marchman carried the Ouachita precincts 62-38% […]
Decision 2018: Kansas Governor GOP Primary Poll
Kansas is a state where it is said has three parties: a Democratic party, a “moderate Republican” party, and a “conservative Republican” party. Therefore, the more interesting contests tend to take place within the August Republican primary (the last voter registration statistics are from 2016 and show Republicans with a 44-25% voter registration plurality). There […]
Decision 2018: Michigan Governor GOP Primary Poll
Michigan is a Midwestern state with a split political personality. While it steadily voted Democratic for President from 1992 to 2012, it also consistently voted Republican between 1968 and 1988, and it was one of three “Blue Wall” states that surprised many people on Election Night 2016 when it voted for Trump by 10,700 votes. […]