With the 2022 midterms’ now being in the rearview mirror, the performance of pollsters is again in the limelight. In this case, the conventional wisdom is that the polls overestimated Republican performance and led people to believe that this would be a “red wave” election when instead, the 2022 midterms were a “split decision”: Republicans […]
Archive | 2022 Election
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 11/7 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
Polls open across America in a few hours as this article is being published. More than 44 million early voted (372K did in Louisiana), and as this final scorecard is being written for the 2022 midterm election cycle, control of the Senate remains tight, but polling trends have demonstrably been moving in once direction since […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 11/1 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
America is now in the home stretch: just an hour ago (as this article is being published), Louisiana was the first state to have concluded its in person early voting, and other states will shortly follow Louisiana’s lead. And with a week to go, control of the Senate remains tight, but polling trends have demonstrably […]
Decision 2022 – Day 5/7 of Early Voting (mail driven, “crawfish red” voter turnout)
Ever since early voting was established in Louisiana over 15 years ago, it has steadily become an accepted method of voting. The coronavirus pandemic added a twist to HOW people voted before Election Day, with mail in voting becoming a “third actor” in addition to in person early voting and traditional Election Day voting. Now […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/16 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
America is now in the “3rd Quarter” with the 2022 midterm elections, as individual states are steadily coming online with early voting (early voting in Louisiana begins on October 25 and lasts until November 1). We also have a steady volume of polling that we can use to make assessments on where races are heading […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/2 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
America is now in the midst of election season and are therefore focusing on House, Senate, Governor’s, and other races that will be on the November 8 ballot. In fact, in several states, people are actually early voting in person (November 8 in Louisiana is a PRIMARY day, although any candidate who receives at least […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/16 US Senate scorecard (The road to 51)
Now that every state but Louisiana has held its primary (Louisiana’s primary is on the same day as the national general election on November 8), election season is officially underway. Before looking at House and/or Governors races, JMC wanted to “get current” with Senate race polling. Scorecard Criteria Publicly available polling data for all Senate […]
Decision 2022 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/12 US Senate scorecard (The Road To 51)
Now that election season is here (technically, three more states – and Louisiana on November 8 – have yet to hold their primaries), JMC Analytics and Polling is focusing on how House, Senate, and Governor’s races are going. This article will focus on the Senate races. Background Theoretically, this should be a good year for […]
Decision 2022: Did the “red wave” dissipate in Kansas (or not) ?
We are now well into the latter half of the 2022 election cycle, as 36 states have concluded their primaries. This past week (after a July hiatus only interrupted by Maryland’s primary), primary elections resumed in full force with primaries in six states, including swing states like Michigan and Arizona. However, from the tone of […]
Decision 2022: Is a Republican wave forming? (June 29 update)
The 2022 midterm election cycle has now passed the halfway point, with 29 states’ having conducted their primaries. Candidate qualifying has also concluded in 48 states – only Delaware and Louisiana are left. Ever since JMC has been following the primary calendar starting with the Texas primary on March 2, his observation about this being […]