Despite a slow start, the 2022 midterm primary season is well underway, and last night’s series of five primaries means that 10 states have chosen their party’s nominees for the November elections. And as primary season unfolds (19 more states will be holding their primaries between next Tuesday and June 28), there are additional signals […]
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Early Voting in Louisiana – are voters “mailing it in”? (May 2022 edition)
A generation ago, voting was an exercise conducted almost entirely on Election Day (although there was limited absentee voting allowed), and this tradition is one that has remained in Louisiana longer than in many states. That began to change in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina (and to some extent Hurricane Rita) in 2005, which caused […]
Decision 2022: Is a Republican wave forming?
While midterm elections are 8 months away, primary season kicked off last night in Texas (the first primary of the 2022 election cycle). Even with only one primary being held, there are some signals that can be discerned from the data at this point. In assessing the extent of a possible partisan shift, JMC prefers […]
Louisiana 2021 Marijuana Poll Part II (Poll of 9 House Districts)
Louisiana has a reputation for being a conservative state, and that reputation is particularly accurate if social/lifestyle issues are involved. One of those “lifestyle issues” is liberalization of marijuana laws, and the extent to which voters want to relax those laws is an issue JMC has polled several times in Louisiana and once in Michigan […]
Early Voting in Louisiana – are voters “mailing it in”?
A generation ago, voting was an exercise conducted almost entirely on Election Day (although there was limited absentee voting allowed), and this tradition that has remained in Louisiana longer than in many states. That began to change in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina (and to some extent Hurricane Rita) in 2005, with massive displacement of […]
Decision 2020: Georgia U.S. Senate Runoff Polls
Georgia is a state that best exemplifies the tension between both the “new South” and the “old South.” A generation ago, the continuously booming suburbs in and around Atlanta brought Republicanism to this once solidly Democratic state (which was one of a handful of states to stick with Jimmy Carter in his 1980 landslide defeat […]
Decision 2020: Did the pollsters get it right (or wrong) this time?
As the 2020 Presidential election cycle (with the notable exceptions of two Senate runoffs in Georgia and Congressional certification of the Electoral College vote for President) concludes, the discussion that occurs every four years of whether pollsters “missed the mark” on the Presidential election results has returned front and center to the political discourse. Let’s […]
Decision 2020: JMC’s Post Election Day thoughts
Given the votes being reported so far in the Presidential race, the Presidential election has been decided in favor of former Vice-President Joe Biden, who has the necessary 270 electoral votes to win. What are some national (and local) takeaways from this election ? Very high turnout election: In 2016, nearly 137 million voted in […]
Decision 2020 – Conclusion of in person early voting (Are one million early voters POSSIBLE in Louisiana?)
In person early voting concluded last night (although mail in/absentee votes can still be accepted until Monday – Election Day for overseas voters). What have the ten days of early voting told us ? Strong finish, but no “last day Democratic surge” Throughout the early voting period for the November 2020 elections, early voting broke […]
Decision 2020: JMC’s “Election Soundbites” (October 27 edition)
We are now in the home stretch of the 2020 Presidential election cycle. Today is the last day to early vote in Louisiana (Louisiana’s early voting has seen record numbers – more on that later), and other states will similarly conclude their early voting this week. Given that we are nearing the end, JMC will […]