(Note: now that the general election season has begun, we have revised the format of these weekly updates and have shortened the “look back” period for polls from 30 to 15 days) Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 15 days) President Obama job approval: 48-48% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote: 45-44% Democratic (was 42-43% […]
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RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2012 – JMCEL’s September 7 Presidential scorecard
(Note: now that the general election season has begun, we have revised the format of these weekly updates) Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 30 days) President Obama job approval: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 47-50% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote: 42-43% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) US Senate Projections: 49 Republicans, 44 Democrats, 1 Independent, 6 Tossups (was 49-45-1 […]
Decision 2012 – Grading the pollster
One of the less publicized aspects of the work pollsters do is an evaluation of their work “after the fact”; in other words, how accurate was their polling?
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 30 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-50% approve/disapprove (was 47-50% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 67 (56 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 14 (13 in the House and 1 in the […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 23 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-50% approve/disapprove (was 47-50% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 66 (55 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 13 (12 in the House and 1 in the […]
JMCEL’s “Pulse of Louisiana” Poll – 2012 edition
Louisiana was one of the strongest states for John McCain in the 2008 election (in fact, it was one of three states that have steadily voted more Republican since the 1996 Presidential election). Even though Louisiana is not on anyone’s target list for the 2012 elections, we thought it would be worthwhile to poll the […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 16 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-50% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 66 (55 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 13 (12 in the House and 1 in the […]
Congressional (Republican Runoff) Poll in Oklahoma
The 2nd Congressional district of Oklahoma is the one Congressional district in the state that is more “southern” than “western.” For years, this orientation led to a solidly Democratic constituency even in top of the ballot races. That has changed, although Democrats still are formidable at the Congressional and local level. Recently, 8 year Democratic […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 9 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 65 (54 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 11 (10 in the House and 1 in the […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 3 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 43-41% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 63 (52 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 9 (8 in the House and 1 in the […]