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Demographic analysis of the 2016 flood, revisited

Back in October, JMC Analytics and Polling analyzed voter registration statistics in all of Louisiana’s 64 parishes to determine whether the August 2016 flood that hit south Louisiana especially hard (more so than the 1983 flood) was a “Katrina event” (i.e., the scope of the devastation sparked a massive resettlement into other parts of the […]

Decision 2012: What went wrong for the GOP ?

Introduction The election results of the 2012 Presidential election have been subject to many different interpretations, with each interpretation’s being dependent on the observer’s partisan bent. The current (dominant) narrative is that President Obama was re-elected on the basis of minority voters, and that the Republican Party is no longer competitive nationally, because it has […]

Decision 2012: a picture is worth a thousand words (Part 2: New Orleans)

In the previous article, we graphically displayed the election results by precinct for Baton Rouge. This posting is devoted to New Orleans: namely, the “urban core” of Orleans, Jefferson, and Saint Bernard.

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Decision 2012: a picture is worth a thousand words (Part 1: Baton Rouge)

Now that the election has officially concluded with the inauguration of President Obama, we would like to show graphically how various regions of Louisiana voted for President in the 2004, 2008, and 2012 elections. This posting is devoted to Baton Rouge. While the Baton Rouge area leans Republican, there is a substantial black population within […]

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Decision 2012: a final analysis

The 2012 Presidential Election officially ended around Christmas, when the last of the ballots from New York City (which was challenged with conducting an election in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy) were counted. Now that we have the official results, it’s worth analyzing them against the 2008 and 2004 Presidential elections. Official Vote Count (Obama […]

Decision 2012 – East Baton Rouge Parish Presidential Election Results (2 of 2)

Introduction In our previous analysis, we had provided the context for explaining how a parish that up to the 1996 Presidential election consistently voted more Republican than the state of Louisiana has now moved steadily towards the Democrats, while the rest of the state is becoming more solidly Republican. In this analysis, we will explain (at […]

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Decision 2012 – East Baton Rouge Parish Presidential Election Results (1 of 2)

Anyone attempting to analyze the politics of East Baton Rouge Parish needs to understand that it is a politically competitive parish that has a “gumbo” of citizens from within and without Louisiana, and even from foreign countries. By understanding these different regions, the Presidential vote in the parish for 2004, 2008, and 2012 makes more […]

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Decision 2012 – Louisiana Presidential Election Results

While the 2008 and 2012 Presidential election results were never in doubt in Louisiana, it’s worth noting that while President Obama’s share of the popular vote dropped from 53 to 51%, he saw a small uptick in support in Louisiana – his share of the vote went from 40 to 41% between 2008 and 2012. […]

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