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Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s July 26 Presidential scorecard

Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 43-41% Republican (was 43-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 62 (51 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 9 (8 in the House and 1 in the […]

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Decision 2012 – Primary problems for President Obama ?

Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Party primaries can predict the future. Back in August 2010, a U.S. Senate primary in Louisiana attracted 110K Democrats and Independents (in that election, Independents were allowed to vote in the Democratic primary), and the results showed that Democrats and Independents were not solidly behind former Congressman Charlie Melancon (D-Napoleonville), who […]

Decision 2012 (March 14 “Super Southern Tuesday” edition, Part 2 of 2 – Early voting in Louisiana at mid week)

March 24 is the date of Louisiana’s Presidential primary. While there are some local races on the ballot as well, we are limiting our discussion to the Republican Presidential race, as President Obama has minor opposition in the Democratic primary (three opponents qualified in Louisiana to oppose him).

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Decision 2012 (March 14 “Super Southern Tuesday” edition, Part 1 of 2)

Presidential – (1144 delegates to win) Romney 495 (53%), Santorum 252 (27%), Gingrich 131, Ron Paul 48, Huntsman 2 (Source: WSJ) President Obama Job Approval 47-49% (14 day rolling average)   Alabama, Mississippi, and Hawaii

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Decision 2012 (First day of early voting in Louisiana)

March 24 is the date of Louisiana’s Presidential primary. While there are some local races on the ballot as well, we are limiting our discussion to the Republican Presidential race, as President Obama has minor opposition in the Democratic primary (three opponents qualified in Louisiana to oppose him).

Decision 2012 (March 7 “Super Tuesday” edition)

Presidential (1144 delegates to win) Romney 415 (56%), Santorum 176 (24%), Gingrich 105, Ron Paul 47, Huntsman 2 (WSJ) President Obama Job Approval 47-49% (14 day rolling average)     Last night, 10 states held their Presidential contests, and the results seem to indicate two things: (1) the Republican primary contest is very much still […]

Decision 2012 (February 23 edition)

Presidential –  (1144 delegates to win) Romney 123, Santorum 72, Gingrich 32, Ron Paul 19, Huntsman 2 (WSJ) President Obama Job Approval 48-48% (14 day rolling average) Ever since the “mini Tuesday” Presidential contests of Colorado, Minnesota, and Missouri, the Presidential race has been relatively quiet. The Maine caucuses did conclude shortly thereafter, and while […]