(Note: now that the general election season has begun, we have revised the format of these weekly updates and have shortened the “look back” period for polls from 30 to 15 days) Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 15 days) President Obama job approval: 48-48% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote: 45-44% Democratic (was 42-43% […]
Archive | Louisiana
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2012 – JMCEL’s September 7 Presidential scorecard
(Note: now that the general election season has begun, we have revised the format of these weekly updates) Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 30 days) President Obama job approval: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 47-50% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote: 42-43% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) US Senate Projections: 49 Republicans, 44 Democrats, 1 Independent, 6 Tossups (was 49-45-1 […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 30 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-50% approve/disapprove (was 47-50% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 67 (56 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 14 (13 in the House and 1 in the […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 23 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-50% approve/disapprove (was 47-50% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 66 (55 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 13 (12 in the House and 1 in the […]
JMCEL’s “Pulse of Louisiana” Poll – 2012 edition
Louisiana was one of the strongest states for John McCain in the 2008 election (in fact, it was one of three states that have steadily voted more Republican since the 1996 Presidential election). Even though Louisiana is not on anyone’s target list for the 2012 elections, we thought it would be worthwhile to poll the […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 16 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-50% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 66 (55 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 13 (12 in the House and 1 in the […]
Decision 2012 – Louisiana voter registration
In a previous article, we had analyzed voter registration trends in various swing states for the purpose of understanding what voter sentiment really is this year. Even though Louisiana is not a swing state (it is one of only three states that has steadily voted more Republican in every Presidential election since 1996), we thought […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 9 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 65 (54 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 11 (10 in the House and 1 in the […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 3 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 43-41% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 63 (52 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 9 (8 in the House and 1 in the […]
Decision 2012 – Who (Obama or Romney) is REALLY ahead ?
At this point in the Presidential race, there appears to be an inconsistency between what the national polls and the state by state polls are saying. The weighted average of polls taken over the last 10 days shows President Obama with a narrow 46-45% lead over Mitt Romney, while the average of state by state […]