In a previous article, we had analyzed voter registration trends in various swing states for the purpose of understanding what voter sentiment really is this year. Even though Louisiana is not a swing state (it is one of only three states that has steadily voted more Republican in every Presidential election since 1996), we thought […]
Archive | Louisiana
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 9 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 65 (54 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 11 (10 in the House and 1 in the […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s August 3 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 43-41% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 63 (52 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 9 (8 in the House and 1 in the […]
Decision 2012 – Who (Obama or Romney) is REALLY ahead ?
At this point in the Presidential race, there appears to be an inconsistency between what the national polls and the state by state polls are saying. The weighted average of polls taken over the last 10 days shows President Obama with a narrow 46-45% lead over Mitt Romney, while the average of state by state […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s July 26 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 47-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 43-41% Republican (was 43-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 62 (51 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 9 (8 in the House and 1 in the […]
Decision 2012 – Primary problems for President Obama ?
Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Party primaries can predict the future. Back in August 2010, a U.S. Senate primary in Louisiana attracted 110K Democrats and Independents (in that election, Independents were allowed to vote in the Democratic primary), and the results showed that Democrats and Independents were not solidly behind former Congressman Charlie Melancon (D-Napoleonville), who […]
Decision 2012 – The “A B Cs” of Polling
2012 promises to be a busy election year for the various federal, state, and local offices on the ballot this year. Part of that activity includes yard signs, political commercials, bumper stickers, and public opinion polls to be conducted for races big and small.
Decision 2012 (March 24 Louisiana primary)
Presidential – (1144 delegates to win) Romney 568 (55%), Santorum 273 (27%), Gingrich 135, Ron Paul 50, Huntsman 2 (Source: WSJ) Louisiana Primary – the Republican contest
Decision 2012 (March 20 Illinois primary)
Presidential – (1144 delegates to win) Romney 563 (56%), Santorum 263 (26%), Gingrich 135, Ron Paul 50, Huntsman 2 (Source: WSJ) President Obama Job Approval 47-48% (14 day rolling average) Illinois Primary
Decision 2012 (March 14 “Super Southern Tuesday” edition, Part 2 of 2 – Early voting in Louisiana at mid week)
March 24 is the date of Louisiana’s Presidential primary. While there are some local races on the ballot as well, we are limiting our discussion to the Republican Presidential race, as President Obama has minor opposition in the Democratic primary (three opponents qualified in Louisiana to oppose him).