Now that the election has officially concluded with the inauguration of President Obama, we would like to show graphically how various regions of Louisiana voted for President in the 2004, 2008, and 2012 elections. This posting is devoted to Baton Rouge. While the Baton Rouge area leans Republican, there is a substantial black population within […]
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RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2012: a final analysis
The 2012 Presidential Election officially ended around Christmas, when the last of the ballots from New York City (which was challenged with conducting an election in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy) were counted. Now that we have the official results, it’s worth analyzing them against the 2008 and 2004 Presidential elections. Official Vote Count (Obama […]
Decision 2012 – East Baton Rouge Parish Presidential Election Results (2 of 2)
Introduction In our previous analysis, we had provided the context for explaining how a parish that up to the 1996 Presidential election consistently voted more Republican than the state of Louisiana has now moved steadily towards the Democrats, while the rest of the state is becoming more solidly Republican. In this analysis, we will explain (at […]
Decision 2012 – East Baton Rouge Parish Presidential Election Results (1 of 2)
Anyone attempting to analyze the politics of East Baton Rouge Parish needs to understand that it is a politically competitive parish that has a “gumbo” of citizens from within and without Louisiana, and even from foreign countries. By understanding these different regions, the Presidential vote in the parish for 2004, 2008, and 2012 makes more […]
Decision 2012 – Louisiana Presidential Election Results
While the 2008 and 2012 Presidential election results were never in doubt in Louisiana, it’s worth noting that while President Obama’s share of the popular vote dropped from 53 to 51%, he saw a small uptick in support in Louisiana – his share of the vote went from 40 to 41% between 2008 and 2012. […]
Decision 2012 – Grading the “major” pollsters
Earlier this year, we had evaluated the performance of the “major” pollsters during the 2010 elections. Now that the 2012 elections are largely behind us, we thought we would revisit that analysis.
Decision 2012 – Twas the night before Election Day
Tomorrow is election day across America. This has been a truly unique election season for several reasons: (1) An incumbent President is facing re-election with unemployment nearly at 8% ; (2) Mitt Romney struggled to find his voice/connect with voters until the first debate in Denver; (3) Americans in unprecedented numbers have decided not to […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s November 2 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 7 days) Obama vs Romney: 48-47% Romney (was 49-47% Romney) President Obama job approval: 49-49% approve/disapprove (was 49-48% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote: 45-45% Republican (was 45-44% Republican) US Senate Projections: 47 Democrats, 47 Republicans, 1 Independent, 5 Tossups (was 48-46-1 Democrat) Governor’s Race Projections: 30 Republicans, 16 Democrats, 1 Independent, […]
Decision 2012 – Louisiana Early Voting (End of in person early voting)
Early voting for the Presidential election in Louisiana concluded yesterday afternoon. Even though mail in absentee ballots can still be accepted for another week, it’s interesting to see what happened with early voting, as it is becoming an increasingly popular way for Louisianians to vote Here’s what we have noticed:
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s October 30 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 7 days) Obama vs Romney: 49-47% Romney (was 48-47% Romney) President Obama job approval: 49-48% approve/disapprove (was 49-48% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote: 45-44% Republican (was 45-44% Republican) US Senate Projections: 48 Democrats, 46 Republicans, 1 Independent, 5 Tossups (was 48-47-1 Democrat) Governor’s Race Projections: 30 Republicans, 16 Democrats, 1 Independent, […]