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Turnout drop-off in “down ballot” races: what are the political implications?

In the elections world, human and machine imperfection are variables that have to be factored in when discussing election results, turnout, and the like. Some of those imperfections can prevent every vote cast from being counted – a reality that became apparent during the Florida recount in the 2000 Presidential race. For this article, we are […]

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Decision 2014 – JMCEL scorecard as of October 25

We are now just over a week away from Election Day, and early voting is in full swing across the country (Louisiana has been early voting for four days, with some interesting results). The climate thus far has remained generally favorable towards the Republicans, despite “trouble spots” popping up here and there. Scorecard Criteria Given […]

Decision 2014 – JMCEL scorecard as of October 9

As we inch closer to Election Day (and, in the case of Louisiana, the “kickoff” of early voting in 12 days), there was minimal movement this past week; what movement there was happened in the governor’s races, where there was a perceptible drift towards Republicans in several statehouses. Scorecard Criteria Given the massive volume of polling data, […]

Decision 2014 – JMCEL scorecard as of September 19

We are now in the midst of election season, and despite the pundits’ musings (as will be explained later), the GOP is actually in decent shape at this point in the cycle. Scorecard Criteria Given the massive volume of polling data, plus the fact that pollsters have varying levels of accuracy, we gather data on […]