Donald Trump has run an unconventional campaign. And part of that departure from convention has been the use of controversial rhetoric that popularly has been thought to energize unregistered Democratic voters, thus making it more difficult for him to carry critical swing states and get elected. Or has he ? To best evaluate this assumption, […]
Archive | Louisiana
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2016: Latest PSC (District 4) poll
JMC Analytics and Polling was commissioned by the Mike Francis campaign for Public Service Commissioner to poll both the Presidential and Public Service Commission District 4 race (PSC District 4 encompasses Southwest and Central Louisiana, and the map can be found here). The poll can be found here.
Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s Louisiana Presidential/US Senate Poll
JMC Analytics and Polling was recently commissioned by the Fleming campaign to poll Louisiana both for the Presidential and the (24 candidate) U.S. Senate race. Among its findings: 1.For the U.S. Senate race, five candidates once had a path to the runoff – now, four do; 2.On the Democratic side, Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell essentially has […]
Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s October 16 Presidential scorecard
Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump (dark blue/red) – If no polls have been conducted within the last 7 days for that state, a 2012 Obama (or Romney) percentage of 60% or above gets this rating. If polls have been conducted, a Clinton (or Trump) […]
Demographic analysis of the August 2016 flood
Was the August 2016 flood that hit south Louisiana especially hard (more so than the 1983 flood) a “Katrina event”? In other words, has the devastation sparked a massive resettlement into other parts of the state (and to other states, for that matter) ? To answer this question, JMC Analytics and Polling examined changes in voter registration between […]
Decision 2016: PSC poll, with JMC Analytics and Polling’s response to the “War Room PAC”
JMC Analytics and Polling was commissioned by the Mike Francis campaign for Public Service Commissioner to poll the Public Service Commission District 4 race (PSC District 4 encompasses Southwest and Central Louisiana, and the map can be found here). Earlier this week, LABI sent out a “War Room PAC” email which discussed this and other races. Their […]
Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s Louisiana Presidential/US Senate Poll
JMC Analytics and Polling was recently commissioned to do a poll in Louisiana both for the Presidential and the (24 candidate) U.S. Senate race. Among its findings: For the U.S. Senate race, five candidates now have a path to the runoff, While Democratic Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell and Republican Congressman Charles Boustany lead the field, Republican […]
Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s August 28 Presidential scorecard
Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump (dark blue/red) – If no polls have been conducted within the last 14 days for that state, a 2012 Obama (or Romney) percentage of 60% or above gets this rating. If polls have been conducted, a Clinton (or Trump) […]
JMC Analytics and Polling’s “A-B-Cs” of polling
In a political or issue campaign, substantial resources are spent on TV, direct mail, Internet advertising, social media, and the like to communicate its message to voters. But how can campaigns evaluate whether these communications were effective? That’s where polling comes in, and a properly constructed poll is the most effective (and objective) way to […]
Decision 2016: Has Donald Trump “spiked” Democratic voter registration ?
As the 2016 election cycle progresses, the prevalent narrative is that, as the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald Trump has energized Democrats, as evidenced by a spike in voter registration. Is this narrative supported by the data? To evaluate this assertion, JMC Analytics and Polling examined changes in partisan voter registration since January 1, 2016. The methodology/assumptions used were as […]