One of the more closely watched US Senate races in 2014 will undoubtedly be in Louisiana, where three term Democratic incumbent Mary Landrieu will face Republican Congressman Bill Cassidy – she has never been elected or re-elected with more than 52% of the vote.
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Tolls on the Crescent City Connection – a tale of “East” versus “West”
The presence of tolls on the Crescent City Connection Bridge in New Orleans, which had been in place since 1989, has been an emotional issue for Westbankers for some time, since the tolls were only collected for Westbankers commuting to work in New Orleans or other locations on the Eastbank (no tolls were collected for [...]
Decision 2012: What went wrong for the GOP ?
Introduction The election results of the 2012 Presidential election have been subject to many different interpretations, with each interpretation’s being dependent on the observer’s partisan bent. The current (dominant) narrative is that President Obama was re-elected on the basis of minority voters, and that the Republican Party is no longer competitive nationally, because it has [...]
Voter targeting – an analytical approach
A common mistake those running for office make is a lack of understanding of voter behavior, which results in their spending unnecessary effort reaching out to potential voters. This article will address both the nature of the problem and what can be done about it.
Louisiana voter registration trends, 2001-2013 (Part II – Voter registration by age)
In the first part of our analysis, we examined changes in Louisiana voter registration over the past decade. There is another layer to this analysis to get a complete picture, however – examining voter registration data by a voter’s age, since the political views of each generation are invariably shaped by the political context of [...]
Louisiana voter registration trends, 2001-2013
Last summer, we had examined Louisiana voter registration (and associated trends) over the previous decade, and in that analysis, we discovered the following: Increased GOP voter registration A continuous decline in the number of white Democrats A black majority among registered Democrats A GOP plurality among white voters Since that August 2012 analysis, the Presidential [...]
Decision 2014 – GOP poll in West Virginia
Historically, West Virginia was a solidly Democratic state, with its rural and unionized industrial character. In fact, starting with the New Deal, the state only voted Republican in “landslide years” (1956, 1972, and 1984). Those voting habits changed in 2000, when Clinton administration policy regarding coal mining, as well as social/gun rights issues, enabled George [...]
Decision 2012: a picture is worth a thousand words (Part 4: Shreveport)
In the previous article, we graphically displayed the election results by precinct for Lafayette. This posting is devoted to Shreveport.
Decision 2012: a picture is worth a thousand words (Part 3: Lafayette)
In the previous article, we graphically displayed the election results by precinct for New Orleans. This posting is devoted to Lafayette.
Decision 2012: a picture is worth a thousand words (Part 2: New Orleans)
In the previous article, we graphically displayed the election results by precinct for Baton Rouge. This posting is devoted to New Orleans: namely, the “urban core” of Orleans, Jefferson, and Saint Bernard.