Elections have consequences. At the onset of the Biden Administration, Democrats for the first time since 2009 have unified control of the Presidency, the House, and (thanks to Vice President Harris’ tie breaking vote) the Senate. Yet while their signature domestic legislation remains mired in factional infighting, Democrats had a terrible night last night – […]
Decision 2022: Reading the midterm election “tea leaves”
Even though the first primaries for the 2022 midterm elections aren’t until next March, midterm elections are slowly but surely creeping up on us. What type of year will those midterms be (in terms of which party will have an advantage)? JMC will address this question from several different angles. Biden Approval Since midterm elections […]
Decision 2021: Virginia statewide poll
Virginia is a state that has politically exemplified the transition from the “solid South” to the “progressive South.” It in 1969 was one of the first states to elect a Republican governor, and in 1976, it was the only Deep South state not to vote for Jimmy Carter. Furthermore, from 1968 to 2004, it only […]
Louisiana 2021 Marijuana Poll Part II (Poll of 9 House Districts)
Louisiana has a reputation for being a conservative state, and that reputation is particularly accurate if social/lifestyle issues are involved. One of those “lifestyle issues” is liberalization of marijuana laws, and the extent to which voters want to relax those laws is an issue JMC has polled several times in Louisiana and once in Michigan […]
Early Voting in Louisiana – are voters “mailing it in”?
A generation ago, voting was an exercise conducted almost entirely on Election Day (although there was limited absentee voting allowed), and this tradition that has remained in Louisiana longer than in many states. That began to change in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina (and to some extent Hurricane Rita) in 2005, with massive displacement of […]
Louisiana 2021 Marijuana Poll
Louisiana has a reputation for being a conservative state, and that especially true if social/lifestyle issues are involved. The extent to which voters want to relax existing marijuana laws is an issue JMC has polled several times in Louisiana and once in Michigan (the Michigan poll can be found here). JMC was recently engaged by […]
Decision 2020: Georgia U.S. Senate Runoff Polls
Georgia is a state that best exemplifies the tension between both the “new South” and the “old South.” A generation ago, the continuously booming suburbs in and around Atlanta brought Republicanism to this once solidly Democratic state (which was one of a handful of states to stick with Jimmy Carter in his 1980 landslide defeat […]
Decision 2020: Did the pollsters get it right (or wrong) this time?
As the 2020 Presidential election cycle (with the notable exceptions of two Senate runoffs in Georgia and Congressional certification of the Electoral College vote for President) concludes, the discussion that occurs every four years of whether pollsters “missed the mark” on the Presidential election results has returned front and center to the political discourse. Let’s […]
Decision 2020: JMC’s Post Election Day thoughts
Given the votes being reported so far in the Presidential race, the Presidential election has been decided in favor of former Vice-President Joe Biden, who has the necessary 270 electoral votes to win. What are some national (and local) takeaways from this election ? Very high turnout election: In 2016, nearly 137 million voted in […]
Decision 2020 – Conclusion of in person early voting (Are one million early voters POSSIBLE in Louisiana?)
In person early voting concluded last night (although mail in/absentee votes can still be accepted until Monday – Election Day for overseas voters). What have the ten days of early voting told us ? Strong finish, but no “last day Democratic surge” Throughout the early voting period for the November 2020 elections, early voting broke […]