Decision 2018: Wisconsin 6th Congressional District Poll

The 6th Congressional District of Wisconsin covers the central part of the state roughly between Milwaukee and Green Bay. This is an ancestrally Republican district that in fact (in the town of Ripon) was where the Republican Party was founded, and accordingly the district has elected Republicans to Congress for decades. This is the fourth […]

Decision 2018: Colorado 3rd Congressional District Poll

The 3rd District of Colorado is located in the western Colorado and is an economically diverse district covering most of the picturesque Rocky Mountains. In the east is blue collar Pueblo, which has a large Hispanic population, as do some rural counties along the New Mexico border. Throughout the Rockies (in the heart of the […]

Decision 2018 – Conclusion of in person early voting in Louisiana

Early voting finished last night (mail in absentees can still be accepted up to the day before Election Day), and it was a record breaker in several ways. What did early voting this year tell us? Strong turnout/Newton’s Third Law As of last night, a record 307,237 have either early voted by person or by […]

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Decision 2018 – “Halftime Report” for Early Voting in Louisiana

We are now at the midway point for in person early voting, now that three days’ worth of early voting in the rear view mirror, with four more days (today/Friday, Saturday, Monday, and Tuesday) to go. What has three days of early voting told us? Turnout remains strong The first day of in person early […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/12 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

In the last Senate scorecard published two weeks ago, JMC noted that Republicans’ chances continued to improve to the point that they could feel better about their chances of maintaining their Senate majority. Now that early voting is almost all “full steam ahead” (only parts of Florida and Oklahoma have yet to start in person […]

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Decision 2018 – (First Day of) Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting is now underway for the 2018 midterm elections in Louisiana and will continue until next Tuesday, October 30 (after which, mail in absentee ballots will be accepted for another week). What did yesterday’s early vote tell us ? High early voting turnout, but…… Only two times have examining the first day’s […]

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Decision 2018: Georgia 6th Congressional District Poll

Historically, the Atlanta suburbs (particularly those suburbs to the north, northeast, and northwest of Atlanta proper) have been thought of as a Republican stronghold, and in the 1990s, the 6th Congressional district was redrawn by the Democratic legislature for former Congressman Newt Gingrich to concentrate the Republican vote in that part of the state so […]

Decision 2018: Georgia 7th Congressional District Poll

Historically, the Atlanta suburbs have been thought of as a Republican stronghold. However, the political winds noticeably shifted there (and in other white collar suburban constituencies in states like Texas and Arizona) during the 2016 Presidential elections. In a bipartisan and joint polling engagement conducted independently of any campaign or organization, JMC Analytics and Polling teamed […]

Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/18 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

In the run up to the November elections, JMC has been assessing the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC has noted that over the last generation (roughly around the beginning of the Clinton administration), substantial numbers of “straight ticket” voters have […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/12 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

In last week’s scorecard, JMC Analytics and Polling noted that the aftermath of the Kavanaugh Supreme Court hearings brought a “second wind” to Republican candidacies in several tight Senate races; more specifically, Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota fell substantially behind for the first time, thus making Republicans’ maintaining control of the Senate a […]

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