Decision 2018 – (First Day of) Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting is now underway for the 2018 midterm elections in Louisiana and will continue until next Tuesday, October 30 (after which, mail in absentee ballots will be accepted for another week). What did yesterday’s early vote tell us ? High early voting turnout, but…… Only two times have examining the first day’s […]

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Decision 2018: Georgia 6th Congressional District Poll

Historically, the Atlanta suburbs (particularly those suburbs to the north, northeast, and northwest of Atlanta proper) have been thought of as a Republican stronghold, and in the 1990s, the 6th Congressional district was redrawn by the Democratic legislature for former Congressman Newt Gingrich to concentrate the Republican vote in that part of the state so […]

Decision 2018: Georgia 7th Congressional District Poll

Historically, the Atlanta suburbs have been thought of as a Republican stronghold. However, the political winds noticeably shifted there (and in other white collar suburban constituencies in states like Texas and Arizona) during the 2016 Presidential elections. In a bipartisan and joint polling engagement conducted independently of any campaign or organization, JMC Analytics and Polling teamed […]

Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/18 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

In the run up to the November elections, JMC has been assessing the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC has noted that over the last generation (roughly around the beginning of the Clinton administration), substantial numbers of “straight ticket” voters have […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/12 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

In last week’s scorecard, JMC Analytics and Polling noted that the aftermath of the Kavanaugh Supreme Court hearings brought a “second wind” to Republican candidacies in several tight Senate races; more specifically, Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota fell substantially behind for the first time, thus making Republicans’ maintaining control of the Senate a […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/11 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

Six days ago, JMC assessed the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC noted the electoral reality that the “split ticket” voter (i.e, a voter who supports candidates from different parties for Presidential and “downballot” races such as Congressional races) has been […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/9 Statehouse scorecard – The Road To 26

As part of its pre-election analysis, JMC Analytics and Polling has been examining verifiable election data (like polling and primary election results) to make assessments of Congressional races. However, what goes on at the statewide level is important as well, since governors have the ability to help shape policy. And given that this is generally […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/5 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

11 days ago, JMC assessed the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC considered the electoral reality that the “split ticket” voter (i.e, a voter who supports candidates from different parties for Presidential and “downballot” races such as Congressional races) has been […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/4 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

Last week, JMC Analytics and Polling brought back the Scorecard for Senate races, and that scorecard showed Republicans with a plurality lead in Senate races. Has anything changed since last week ? First, let’s talk about the criteria JMC uses to score each of the 35 Senate races on the ballot this year: Scorecard Criteria […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/27 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

Now that election season is here, JMC Analytics and Polling is focusing on how House, Senate, and Governor’s races are going. Recently, US House races were analyzed. This article will focus on the Senate races. Background Theoretically, this should be a good year for GOP Senate candidates, given that Democrats have had an lengthy string […]

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