Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/18 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

In the run up to the November elections, JMC has been assessing the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC has noted that over the last generation (roughly around the beginning of the Clinton administration), substantial numbers of “straight ticket” voters have […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/12 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

In last week’s scorecard, JMC Analytics and Polling noted that the aftermath of the Kavanaugh Supreme Court hearings brought a “second wind” to Republican candidacies in several tight Senate races; more specifically, Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota fell substantially behind for the first time, thus making Republicans’ maintaining control of the Senate a […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/11 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

Six days ago, JMC assessed the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC noted the electoral reality that the “split ticket” voter (i.e, a voter who supports candidates from different parties for Presidential and “downballot” races such as Congressional races) has been […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/9 Statehouse scorecard – The Road To 26

As part of its pre-election analysis, JMC Analytics and Polling has been examining verifiable election data (like polling and primary election results) to make assessments of Congressional races. However, what goes on at the statewide level is important as well, since governors have the ability to help shape policy. And given that this is generally […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/5 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

11 days ago, JMC assessed the partisan climate of 435 US House races using a combination of election and polling data. In making these assessments, JMC considered the electoral reality that the “split ticket” voter (i.e, a voter who supports candidates from different parties for Presidential and “downballot” races such as Congressional races) has been […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/4 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

Last week, JMC Analytics and Polling brought back the Scorecard for Senate races, and that scorecard showed Republicans with a plurality lead in Senate races. Has anything changed since last week ? First, let’s talk about the criteria JMC uses to score each of the 35 Senate races on the ballot this year: Scorecard Criteria […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/27 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

Now that election season is here, JMC Analytics and Polling is focusing on how House, Senate, and Governor’s races are going. Recently, US House races were analyzed. This article will focus on the Senate races. Background Theoretically, this should be a good year for GOP Senate candidates, given that Democrats have had an lengthy string […]

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Decision 2018: (Special Election) Secretary of State poll

This November, the Secretary of State’s race is on the ballot, due to the May resignation of Tom Schedler. Upon Schedler’s resignation, his first assistant (Kyle Ardoin) then assumed office. He (Ardoin) decided at the end of qualifying to run for the job, and he is being joined by eight other candidates. JMC was commissioned […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/24 US House scorecard – The Road To 218

How stable is GOP control of the US House of Representatives, now that midterm elections are six weeks away? To objectively answer this question, JMC has evaluated all House districts that are in (or can be put into) play by using a combination of election and polling data. To put JMC’s analysis in proper context, […]

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Decision 2018: Michigan Marijuana Ballot Proposal

This November, Michigan voters will have a chance to vote on Proposal 1, which is a proposal to legalize recreational marijuana for those who are 21 years old or over. JMC was commissioned to conduct this poll by private subscribers. The poll can be viewed here, and there are two main takeaways: (1) the ballot […]