A generation ago, voting was an exercise conducted almost entirely on Election Day (although there was limited absentee voting allowed), and this tradition is one that has remained in Louisiana longer than in many states. That began to change in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina (and to some extent Hurricane Rita) in 2005, which caused […]
Decision 2022/3 – March 2022 Louisiana Statewide Poll
The current political climate is challenging for incumbents, with repeated waves of the coronavirus pandemic (five so far) that only recently have ebbed. Plus, inflation has returned to an extent not seen since 40 years ago, and gas prices are still at record high (nominal) levels. Throw in foreign policy challenges in Afghanistan and the […]
Decision 2022: Is a Republican wave forming?
While midterm elections are 8 months away, primary season kicked off last night in Texas (the first primary of the 2022 election cycle). Even with only one primary being held, there are some signals that can be discerned from the data at this point. In assessing the extent of a possible partisan shift, JMC prefers […]
Decision 2021: Constitutional Amendment Votes (State Senate)
Last weekend, Louisiana had four Constitutional Amendments up for a vote. The first one dealt with sales tax consolidation and failed 48-52%. The second one dealt with an income tax swap, and that one passed 54-46%. In Part Two of this analysis (the first part was published two days ago), a listing is attached of […]
Decision 2021: Constitutional Amendment Votes (State House)
This past weekend, Louisiana had four Constitutional Amendments up for a vote. The first one dealt with sales tax consolidation and failed 48-52%. The second one dealt with an income tax swap, and that one passed 54-46%. Below is a graphic of the parishes that supported/opposed those amendments. Also attached is a listing of the […]
Decision 2022: What does last night’s (mostly) “red night” mean for next year?
Elections have consequences. At the onset of the Biden Administration, Democrats for the first time since 2009 have unified control of the Presidency, the House, and (thanks to Vice President Harris’ tie breaking vote) the Senate. Yet while their signature domestic legislation remains mired in factional infighting, Democrats had a terrible night last night – […]
Decision 2022: Reading the midterm election “tea leaves”
Even though the first primaries for the 2022 midterm elections aren’t until next March, midterm elections are slowly but surely creeping up on us. What type of year will those midterms be (in terms of which party will have an advantage)? JMC will address this question from several different angles. Biden Approval Since midterm elections […]
Decision 2021: Virginia statewide poll
Virginia is a state that has politically exemplified the transition from the “solid South” to the “progressive South.” It in 1969 was one of the first states to elect a Republican governor, and in 1976, it was the only Deep South state not to vote for Jimmy Carter. Furthermore, from 1968 to 2004, it only […]
Louisiana 2021 Marijuana Poll Part II (Poll of 9 House Districts)
Louisiana has a reputation for being a conservative state, and that reputation is particularly accurate if social/lifestyle issues are involved. One of those “lifestyle issues” is liberalization of marijuana laws, and the extent to which voters want to relax those laws is an issue JMC has polled several times in Louisiana and once in Michigan […]
Early Voting in Louisiana – are voters “mailing it in”?
A generation ago, voting was an exercise conducted almost entirely on Election Day (although there was limited absentee voting allowed), and this tradition that has remained in Louisiana longer than in many states. That began to change in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina (and to some extent Hurricane Rita) in 2005, with massive displacement of […]