Last week, JMC Analytics and Polling brought back the Scorecard for Senate races, and that scorecard showed Republicans with a plurality lead in Senate races. Has anything changed since last week ? First, let’s talk about the criteria JMC uses to score each of the 35 Senate races on the ballot this year: Scorecard Criteria […]
Archive | National Politics
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/27 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51
Now that election season is here, JMC Analytics and Polling is focusing on how House, Senate, and Governor’s races are going. Recently, US House races were analyzed. This article will focus on the Senate races. Background Theoretically, this should be a good year for GOP Senate candidates, given that Democrats have had an lengthy string […]
Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 9/24 US House scorecard – The Road To 218
How stable is GOP control of the US House of Representatives, now that midterm elections are six weeks away? To objectively answer this question, JMC has evaluated all House districts that are in (or can be put into) play by using a combination of election and polling data. To put JMC’s analysis in proper context, […]
Decision 2018: Watching for Blue (or Red) Waves
Now that Labor Day has passed, political season has truly begun. And ever since January, JMC has been continuously analyzing political data to make a proper assessment of this year’s political climate. And with only the Louisiana primary (November 6 primary/December 8 runoff) remaining, this would be a good time to revisit the “state of […]
Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday IV” (Another “Blue Night?”)
After a month’s hiatus, primary season has returned, with four states holding primaries last night, and one state (Ohio) holding a Congressional special election. And again, evidence of a surge in Democratic enthusiasm was evident last night in each and every contest. Ohio CD 12 Special Election This is the last of the Congressional special […]
Decision 2018: Kansas Governor GOP Primary Poll
Kansas is a state where it is said has three parties: a Democratic party, a “moderate Republican” party, and a “conservative Republican” party. Therefore, the more interesting contests tend to take place within the August Republican primary (the last voter registration statistics are from 2016 and show Republicans with a 44-25% voter registration plurality). There […]
Decision 2018: Michigan Governor GOP Primary Poll
Michigan is a Midwestern state with a split political personality. While it steadily voted Democratic for President from 1992 to 2012, it also consistently voted Republican between 1968 and 1988, and it was one of three “Blue Wall” states that surprised many people on Election Night 2016 when it voted for Trump by 10,700 votes. […]
Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday III”, and waiting on California III
While June 5 was a “Superbowl of primaries” (eight primaries were held three weeks ago across the country from New Jersey to California), last night was an important primary night as well, with five states (from New York to Utah) holding primaries, and South Carolina/Mississippi holding runoffs. As with all multistate primary nights, JMC will […]
Decision 2018: Ohio CD 12 (special election) poll
While the state of Ohio nearly always goes with the winning Presidential candidate, the 12th Congressional District (which is located in the middle of the state and consists of areas north and east of Columbus) is a Republican district. Its Republicanism, however, is more white collar in nature, and would by today’s standards be considered […]
Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday II”, and waiting on California II
While June 5 was a “Superbowl of primaries” (eight primaries were held last week across the country from New Jersey to California), last night was an important primary night as well, with five states (from Maine to Nevada) holding primaries. And just like with last week’s article, JMC will focus separately on each state for […]