How many House seats will the GOP gain this fall ? And which seats are likely to flip ? In general, there has been little specific discussion about this topic, other than political commentators’ giving various estimates, with little in the way of supporting data. In this article, we would like to, using publicly available data, […]
Archive | National Politics
RSS feed for this section“Super Tuesday II” Results – Two for the TEA Party
Tonight, seven states held their primaries. Overall, the TEA Party had two big victories over establishment candidates in Republican primaries. And healthcare reform’s unpopularity was apparent again.
2010 Primary Season statistics
With primary season winding down, there are two things we wanted to show you graphically: (1) The primary vote by party by state, and (2) Current list of House races we’re watching.
Senate and Governor’s Races – Then and Now
As they say, a picture is worth a thousand words. We wanted to show you how the electoral map has changed in a month:
2010 Elections, 9/9 edition – House/Senate/Governors polls
2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races Now that Labor Day has passed, primary season is in the “home stretch”– the eight remaining Congressional primaries will conclude by September 18 (Louisiana’s “everything else” primary will be on Saturday, October 2). We are now basing our analyses on a composite of polls conducted over […]
Looking back on primary season and forward to “Super Tuesday II”
As the primary season wraps up, there are several things that are worth noting:
2010 Elections, 9/1 edition – House/Senate/Governors polls
2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races As the Labor Day weekend approaches, primary season is in the “home stretch” now– the eight remaining Congressional primaries will conclude by September 18 (Louisiana’s “everything else” primary will be on Saturday, October 2). For the past several months, we based our calls on individual races […]
Louisiana Primary Results – what do they mean for November ?
When we discussed the election results, we briefly examined the vote that David Vitter and Charlie Melancon received overall and in each parish. There are a couple more things we wanted to mention regarding Vitter and Melancon’s performance:
Louisiana/West Virginia Congressional Primary results
Last night, both Louisiana and West Virginia conducted their Congressional primaries. Though the Louisiana Congressional primary was a very low turnout affair (7% overall turnout, with 13% on the GOP side and 5% on the Democratic/Independent side), there are several items which are worth mentioning:
2010 Elections, 8/26 edition – House/Senate/Governors polls
2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races Our calls on individual races are based on a composite of polls conducted over the last 28 days (we will compress this “look back period” to 14 days after Labor Day, since that’s when voters will start to pay attention to these races) using the following […]