2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races Now that Labor Day has passed, primary season is in the “home stretch”– the eight remaining Congressional primaries will conclude by September 18 (Louisiana’s “everything else” primary will be on Saturday, October 2). We are now basing our analyses on a composite of polls conducted over […]
Archive | National Politics
RSS feed for this sectionLooking back on primary season and forward to “Super Tuesday II”
As the primary season wraps up, there are several things that are worth noting:
2010 Elections, 9/1 edition – House/Senate/Governors polls
2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races As the Labor Day weekend approaches, primary season is in the “home stretch” now– the eight remaining Congressional primaries will conclude by September 18 (Louisiana’s “everything else” primary will be on Saturday, October 2). For the past several months, we based our calls on individual races […]
Louisiana Primary Results – what do they mean for November ?
When we discussed the election results, we briefly examined the vote that David Vitter and Charlie Melancon received overall and in each parish. There are a couple more things we wanted to mention regarding Vitter and Melancon’s performance:
Louisiana/West Virginia Congressional Primary results
Last night, both Louisiana and West Virginia conducted their Congressional primaries. Though the Louisiana Congressional primary was a very low turnout affair (7% overall turnout, with 13% on the GOP side and 5% on the Democratic/Independent side), there are several items which are worth mentioning:
2010 Elections, 8/26 edition – House/Senate/Governors polls
2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races Our calls on individual races are based on a composite of polls conducted over the last 28 days (we will compress this “look back period” to 14 days after Labor Day, since that’s when voters will start to pay attention to these races) using the following […]
Recent Louisiana Senate Poll
As much as some in the media and the political class persist in their belief that David Vitter is vulnerable even to a Republican primary challenger, another poll was released today showing Senator David Vitter with a another double digit lead (51-41%) over his likely Democratic opponent, Rep. Charlie Melancon. Several things about this poll are […]
2010 elections, 8/24 edition (Establishment or insurgent ?)
Primaries were held last night in Alaska, Arizona, Florida, and Vermont. Overall, primary voters sent mixed messages as to whether they prefer the safety of “establishment” candidates or the risk of insurgent candidates who may or may not have personal baggage.
2010 Elections, 8/19 edition – House/Senate/Governors polls
2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races Our calls on individual races are based on a composite of polls conducted over the last 28 days (we will compress this “look back period” to 14 days after Labor Day, since that’s when voters will start to pay attention to these races) using the following […]
2010 Elections, 8/17 edition (the “Obama Plunge” reaches Washington)
Tonight, two states (Washington and Wyoming) held their primaries. In Wyoming, the only race of note was a crowded Republican primary for Governor, which was a proxy battle between the establishment (former President George H.W. Bush endorsed former state House speaker Collin Simpson, the son of a former senator) and the insurgents (Sarah Palin endorsed […]