There have been many twists and turns in the Presidential contest both on the Republican and on the Democratic side, although both Hillary Clinton (who will likely win all five contests) and Donald Trump (who will likely win four out of five contests) got the electoral oxygen they needed last night. Democratic contest Hillary Clinton […]

Republicans Throughout this election season, Donald Trump’s electoral fortunes have continuously changed – almost on a weekly basis, although a pattern has begun to emerge: (1) As long as the GOP field is divided, the only thing that can hurt Donald Trump is his tendency to “push the envelope” on making unconventional statements, (2) any […]

On the Democratic side, this was Hillary Clinton’s night. She won seven contests (Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia), while Bernie Sanders won four (Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma, and Vermont); What now puts Hillary on the path towards the Democratic nomination is that she clearly dominated among blacks, Hispanics, and (arguably) union voters (she carried Massachusetts over Bernie […]

Tonight, South Carolina’s Republicans chose Donald Trump, while Hillary Clinton won a crucial victory in Nevada’s Democratic caucus. What impact(s) do these victories have on the upcoming Presidential contests? Republicans The Republican race is slowly but surely becoming a three person race; Jeb Bush’s withdrawal tonight has narrowed the GOP field to five candidates. However, each of […]

The contests this Saturday have the potential to end one or more Republican candidacies, while Hillary Clinton is faced with a stronger than expected challenge from Bernie Sanders, who proudly describes himself as a “Democratic socialist.” However, Saturday’s contests are unique in that Democrats and Republicans are not competing in the same states on the same days. […]

Now that the New Hampshire primary has concluded, with (as this article is being written) 89% of the vote counted, what are the takeaways? Republicans (1) Essentially, the deck has been reshuffled, as New Hampshire once again has contradicted Iowa’s results; (2) After Iowa, we had noted the existence of three candidate “tracks”: the “Trump […]

Tomorrow, the Presidential contest moves to New Hampshire for its “first in the nation” primary. Three things that are important to understand about New Hampshire: (1) Independents are 44% of the electorate (30% are Republican, and 26% are Democrat), and can vote in (and influence) either party’s primary, (2) New Hampshire voters are less ideological and religious than Iowa, and (3) the […]

It’s countdown time: the Iowa caucus is eight days away on February 1, followed by the New Hampshire primary on February 9. And while a numerical majority of the individual Presidential contests will be held throughout the month of March, it is the Iowa and New Hampshire contests that will winnow down the field and […]