JMC Analytics and Polling recently (and independently) polled the Presidential race in Louisiana. Despite widely publicized reports of Republican defections within and without the state, Louisiana voters in general (and Republicans specifically) are strongly behind Donald Trump, despite the fact that the poll also shows him with mediocre approval ratings (his approval ratings, however, were better […]
Archive | National Politics
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2016: Cruz collapse, and Sanders shocker in Indiana
(UPDATED 5/4 PM) The Presidential race has come to its conclusion on the Republican side, as Ted Cruz’s disappointing showing in Indiana (combined with seven wins in a row by Donald Trump with more than 50% of the vote) caused him (and, one day later, John Kasich) to exit the race fairly quickly after the polls closed. […]
Decision 2016: Super Tuesday for the I-95 corridor
A Donald Trump/Hillary Clinton November showdown is closer to reality after tonight’s results: Donald Trump swept all five northeastern/New England states with at least 55% of the vote, while Hillary Clinton comfortably carried three states (Delaware, Maryland, and Pennsylvania), narrowly carried Connecticut, and only lost tiny Rhode Island. We will discuss each party’s primaries below: Democratic […]
Decision 2016: New York primary results
What a difference two weeks makes. Two weeks ago, Bernie Sanders and Ted Cruz upset their party’s frontrunners in Wisconsin. And while both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton were expected to win New York, the margin of victory for each candidate has re-established them as their party’s front runners (although, to be precise, Hillary Clinton has […]
Decision 2016: Wisconsin weighs in
Tonight, both Democratic and Republican primary voters in Wisconsin delivered unequivocal upsets to its front runners, with high voter turnout on both sides. So what happened, and what is likely to happen in upcoming contests? Democratic contest (Revised 4/6 AM) Bernie Sanders carried the state with an overwhelming 57-43% lead over Hillary Clinton. Demographics again worked […]
Decision 2016: “Western Super Tuesday” results
Last night, Republicans held their Presidential contests in Arizona and Utah, while Democrats voted in Arizona, Utah, and Idaho. What was interesting about last night contests was that a combination of very long lines at the polls (some polling places in Arizona had 3-4 hour waits) and the contests’ all being held on Mountain Time meant […]
Decision 2016: “Super Tuesday II” results
There have been many twists and turns in the Presidential contest both on the Republican and on the Democratic side, although both Hillary Clinton (who will likely win all five contests) and Donald Trump (who will likely win four out of five contests) got the electoral oxygen they needed last night. Democratic contest Hillary Clinton […]
Decision 2016: “Super Tuesday 1.5″ results
Republicans Throughout this election season, Donald Trump’s electoral fortunes have continuously changed – almost on a weekly basis, although a pattern has begun to emerge: (1) As long as the GOP field is divided, the only thing that can hurt Donald Trump is his tendency to “push the envelope” on making unconventional statements, (2) any […]
Decision 2016: Seven wins and seven takeaways from “Super Tuesday”
On the Democratic side, this was Hillary Clinton’s night. She won seven contests (Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia), while Bernie Sanders won four (Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma, and Vermont); What now puts Hillary on the path towards the Democratic nomination is that she clearly dominated among blacks, Hispanics, and (arguably) union voters (she carried Massachusetts over Bernie […]
Decision 2016: Louisiana’s primary – what does it take to win?
Louisiana is holding its Presidential primary on Saturday, March 5, and early voting is already underway. Given that the race will be held in the aftermath of the 14 state contests on March 1 (also known as “Super Tuesday”) we will undoubtedly get some attention from the candidates. So what does it take for a […]