JMC Analytics and Polling recently conducted a poll in Florida both of the Presidential and US Senate races, and found that both Donald Trump and Senator Marco Rubio maintain small leads, although slightly more respondents do NOT want to re-elect Senator Rubio. The results, writeup/analysis, and crosstabs can be found here.
Archive | National Politics
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s September 11 Presidential scorecard
Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state Note: From this week’s scorecard until November, JMC will be analyzing poll averages for the Presidential, Governor’s, and Senate contests for the last seven (and not the last 14) days, given that the tempo of the race has accelerated. (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump […]
Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s September 4 Presidential scorecard
Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state Note: Starting with the next “scorecard”, JMC will be analyzing poll averages for the last seven (and not the last 14) days. (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump (dark blue/red) – If no polls have been conducted within the last 14 days for that state, […]
Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s June 26 Presidential scorecard
Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump (dark blue/red) – If no polls have been conducted within the last 14 days for that state, a 2012 Obama (or Romney) percentage of 60% or above gets this rating. If polls have been conducted, a Clinton (or Trump) […]
Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s June 19 Presidential scorecard
Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump (dark blue/red) – If no polls have been conducted within the last 14 days for that state, a 2012 Obama (or Romney) percentage of 60% or above gets this rating. If polls have been conducted, a Clinton (or Trump) […]
Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s June 12 Presidential scorecard
Introduction – how does JMC Analytics and Polling call a state? When analyzing the Presidential contest, the more data that is available, the better. Because with both partisan and non partisan sources alike releasing their polls, the truth is somewhere in the middle of all of their poll numbers. Real Clear Politics has been faithfully […]
Decision 2016: The end of Presidential primary season
It’s official: both Hillary Clinton (on the Democratic side) and Donald Trump (on the Republican side) are the party nominees for President. However, last night’s results were a continuation of the narrative that has been in place for the last few weeks: Donald Trump has (despite recent gaffes) consolidated the support of Republican primary voters, while […]
Decision 2016: Has Donald Trump “spiked” Democratic voter registration ?
As the 2016 election cycle progresses, the prevalent narrative is that, as the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald Trump has energized Democrats, as evidenced by a spike in voter registration. Is this narrative supported by the data? To evaluate this assertion, JMC Analytics and Polling examined changes in partisan voter registration since January 1, 2016. The methodology/assumptions used were as […]
Decision 2016: Kentucky/Oregon primaries
At this point in the election cycle, the Republican contest has become an afterthought, as Republicans are slowly but surely coming around to Donald Trump, as evidenced by his showing in Oregon last night. On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton continues to be unable to “close the sale” with Democratic primary voters – Bernie Sanders came within 1,900 […]
Decision 2016: The “final three” compete in West Virginia and Nebraska
Last week, the Republican contest quickly came to a conclusion when Donald Trump’s overwhelming win in Indiana caused both Ted Cruz and John Kasich to exit the race within a day after balloting concluded. And despite vocal protests from various Republican officeholders and operatives, the election results show that Donald Trump has quickly consolidated the Republican […]