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2018 Louisiana Census Estimates and Congressional Redistricting

While the US Census (which was last taken on April 1, 2010) is formally conducted every 10 years, the Census Bureau periodically posts population estimates for each county/parish. Recently, the July 1, 2018 population estimates were released for each of Louisiana’s 64 parishes. What do these population estimates tell us ? Slower population growth: For […]

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Decision 2019: Special elections do (sometimes) matter

Only in recent years can Louisiana be thought of as a Republican friendly state, and for years, Republicans did not have a sufficiently stable presence in the Legislature to matter. That rapidly changed after a trio of events: Hurricanes Katrina/Rita in 2005, the advent of term limits in 2007 legislative elections, and the BP oil […]

Decision 2018 – Conclusion of Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting concluded yesterday in Louisiana (mail in absentees can still be accepted up to the day before Election Day). What did early voting this election cycle tell us? Low (but not the lowest ever) voter enthusiasm Early voting started off with a whimper, and while the volume picked up somewhat after that […]

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Decision 2018 – “Halftime Report” for Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

We are now past the midway point for in person early voting for the December 8 runoff – four days’ worth of early voting are in the rear view mirror, with three more days (today/Thursday, Friday, and Saturday) to go. What has four days of early voting told us? From minimal to low voter enthusiasm […]

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Decision 2018: Mississippi Special Election Runoff Poll

While the 2018 elections are wrapping up, there are a few elections left to be held. One of them is a special election race in the Senate race in Mississippi for the seat Thad Cochran held for 40 years. This is a race where JMC Analytics and Polling teamed up both with RRH Elections and […]

Decision 2018: What happened ?

(UPDATED 11/12 PM) Now that America has made its choice with last Tuesday’s midterm elections (although technically, 12 races – 9 of which are House races – have yet to be called), what did the results tell us ? One of the untold stories that needs to be discussed is that we are in the […]

Decision 2018: A tale of two houses (of Congress)

Introduction The 2018 federal election season (with the exception of possible runoffs in Georgia, Louisiana, and Mississippi) is coming to a close. As this article is being written, over 38 million nationally (including a record setting 315K in Louisiana) have already voted either by mail or in person (for comparisons sake, 27 million early voted […]

Decision 2018 – Conclusion of in person early voting in Louisiana

Early voting finished last night (mail in absentees can still be accepted up to the day before Election Day), and it was a record breaker in several ways. What did early voting this year tell us? Strong turnout/Newton’s Third Law As of last night, a record 307,237 have either early voted by person or by […]

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Decision 2018 – “Halftime Report” for Early Voting in Louisiana

We are now at the midway point for in person early voting, now that three days’ worth of early voting in the rear view mirror, with four more days (today/Friday, Saturday, Monday, and Tuesday) to go. What has three days of early voting told us? Turnout remains strong The first day of in person early […]

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Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/12 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51

In the last Senate scorecard published two weeks ago, JMC noted that Republicans’ chances continued to improve to the point that they could feel better about their chances of maintaining their Senate majority. Now that early voting is almost all “full steam ahead” (only parts of Florida and Oklahoma have yet to start in person […]

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