Decision 2016: The Iowa caucuses

The Iowa caucuses have concluded, with (as this article is being written) 99% of the Republican vote and 95% of the Democratic vote counted. What are the takeaways ? Republicans (1) Ted Cruz’s w 28-24% win over Donald Trump proves once again that the grass roots matters – quite simply, Ted Cruz had a ground game that […]

Decision 2016: Iowa and New Hampshire “Pre game analysis”

It’s countdown time: the Iowa caucus is eight days away on February 1, followed by the New Hampshire primary on February 9. And while a numerical majority of the individual Presidential contests will be held throughout the month of March, it is the Iowa and New Hampshire contests that will winnow down the field and […]

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“Bite sized politics”: Upset in the Louisiana House

In Louisiana, the governor has traditionally has a lot of power, and some of that power includes the tradition of selecting the House and Senate leadership at the beginning of a governor’s administration. However, the 2015 elections resulted in a “split decision”, where the Governor’s chair was recaptured by the Democrats after being out of […]

Decision 2016: A tale of four states

Between the 2014 Senate race and the 2015 statewide elections (which produced a gubernatorial runoff for the first time in 12 years), Louisiana has been in a seemingly endless election cycle since early 2013. And despite the holiday season, the Presidential primary season is now upon us, as the Iowa caucuses are just over four […]

(The end of) Decision 2015: What happened ?

At the onset of the 2015 election cycle, Senator David Vitter was considered the prohibitive favorite for Governor. Yet at the conclusion of last night’s runoff, his 44% showing was the worst statewide showing for a Republican candidate in a competitive race since the 1991 runoff, when Edwin Edwards defeated David Duke 61-39%. What conclusions can be […]

Decision 2015: Runoff Early Voting “Post Game Report”

In person early voting has concluded, although absentee ballots can still be accepted for several more days. What does the early vote data tell us ? (1) Consistently higher turnout – Despite Veterans Day’s taking away a day of early voting, early voting averaged 42,978 per day in the runoff, while in the primary, it […]

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Decision 2015: Runoff Early Voting “Half Time Report”

We are half way though with early voting, and with no early voting today for Veterans Day, there are three more days to early vote. What have the cumulative three day statistics told us ? (1) Consistently higher turnout – For each of the three days of early voting, it has been consistently been higher than […]

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Decision 2015: Runoff Day 1 Early Voting Report

Early voting started yesterday for the November 21, 2015 runoff. What did yesterday’s numbers tell us ? (1) Higher Turnout – First day turnout was 12% higher than it was in the first day of the primary (it was 42,131 yesterday and 37,611 in the primary); (2) Somewhat more Democratic – The racial composition of […]