(Runoff) In person early voting has concluded in Louisiana

In person early voting has now concluded, although mail in/absentee ballots (typically 3-5% of early voting volume) will still be accepted throughout next week. The runoff ballot contains the US Senate race, two Congressional races, the Mayor-President of East Baton Rouge Parish, and assorted local races/tax propositions. What did the early voting numbers tell us? (Still) […]

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Decision 2016 – (Halftime Report for) Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

In person has now been underway for several days for the December 10 runoff and will continue until this Saturday (December 3). The runoff ballot contains the US Senate race, two Congressional races, the Mayor-President of East Baton Rouge Parish, and assorted local races/tax propositions. What are we seeing so far, after three days of early voting ? (Still) […]

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Decision 2016 – (First Day of) Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting started yesterday for the December 10 runoff and will continue until next Saturday, December 3. The runoff ballot contains the US Senate race, two Congressional races, the Mayor-President of East Baton Rouge Parish, and assorted local races/tax propositions. What did yesterday’s early vote tell us ? Dismal early voting turnout While early […]

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Decision 2016 – Grading JMC Analytics and Polling on its “No Tossups Allowed” scorecard

On the day before the election, JMC Analytics and Polling issued a scorecard of its Presidential and Senate predictions (83 races in all). How did it do ? It got 76 of those 83 (or 91.6%) races right, was wrong in six races, while the jury is still out on one race – Michigan has […]

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Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s “No Tossups Allowed” Presidential/Senate scorecard

In 49 states, election season will be over tomorrow (Louisiana has several races which will go into a December 10 runoff). Now that JMC has incorporated all polling up to this afternoon, what does he think will happen with the Presidency and/or Senate ? PRESIDENT: Clinton 275, Trump 263             […]

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Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s “Swing State Tracker”

Given that there has been substantial movement in the polls this past week, what is REALLY happening with the Presidential race right now? Since this racet is not so much a national contest as it is 50 simultaneous state contests, where the race is or is heading in marginal states is critical for a proper analysis […]

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Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s November 4 Presidential scorecard

Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump (dark blue/red) – If no polls have been conducted within the last 7 days for that state, a 2012 Obama (or Romney) percentage of 60% or above gets this rating. If polls have been conducted, a Clinton (or Trump) […]

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Decision 2016 – In person early voting has concluded in Louisiana

In person early voting concluded last night for the 2016 Presidential election in Louisiana, although mail in absentee ballots are still being accepted for several more days. What has early voting told us about voter turnout/which voters are turning out ? Record early voting turnout As of last night, 515,181 early voted, which is a new record that […]

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Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s October 30 Presidential scorecard

Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump (dark blue/red) – If no polls have been conducted within the last 7 days for that state, a 2012 Obama (or Romney) percentage of 60% or above gets this rating. If polls have been conducted, a Clinton (or Trump) […]

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Decision 2016 – (Halftime Report for) Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting has now been underway for three days for the 2016 Presidential election in Louisiana and will continue until next Tuesday, November 1 (after which, mail in absentee ballots will be accepted for another week). What have three days of early voting told us with regards to voter turnout? Record early voting turnout […]

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