Part I: Introduction In a political race (particularly the Presidential race), there is a “horse race” aspect to it: people (particularly influentials and campaign donors) are interested in knowing who’s ahead, who’s fallen behind, who has a chance, who is a lost cause, and so forth. One of the means this narrative can be shaped […]
One of the less publicized aspects of the work pollsters do is an evaluation of their work “after the fact”; in other words, how accurate was their polling?
Louisiana was one of the strongest states for John McCain in the 2008 election (in fact, it was one of three states that have steadily voted more Republican since the 1996 Presidential election). Even though Louisiana is not on anyone’s target list for the 2012 elections, we thought it would be worthwhile to poll the […]
The 2nd Congressional district of Oklahoma is the one Congressional district in the state that is more “southern” than “western.” For years, this orientation led to a solidly Democratic constituency even in top of the ballot races. That has changed, although Democrats still are formidable at the Congressional and local level. Recently, 8 year Democratic […]
In the first installment, we had discussed the basics of polling and how to go about evaluating a poll. In this installment, we will “grade” the pollsters, using the 2010 midterm elections as our sample data.
2012 promises to be a busy election year for the various federal, state, and local offices on the ballot this year. Part of that activity includes yard signs, political commercials, bumper stickers, and public opinion polls to be conducted for races big and small.
Recently, JMC Enterprises of Louisiana was commisioned to poll Iowa Republicans on the Presidential race. Those results can be accessed here.
Recently, JMC Enterprises of Louisiana was commissioned by the Hayride to poll Louisiana voters on their preferences in the Lt Governor and the Secretary of State’s race. The Hayride has done a complete writeup here; the actual poll is here.
This is the third “Pulse of Louisiana” poll we have conducted. In the first poll, we measured the re-elect numbers for President Obama and Senator Landrieu, and we also looked at how her healthcare reform vote has affected her re-elect numbers (the results of that poll are here).
Last month, we conducted a “Pulse of Louisiana” poll, and in that poll, we measured the re-elect numbers for President Obama and Senator Landrieu, and we also looked at how her healthcare reform vote has affected her re-elect numbers. (the results of that poll are here).