While the state of Ohio nearly always goes with the winning Presidential candidate, the 12th Congressional District (which is located in the middle of the state and consists of areas north and east of Columbus) is a Republican district. Its Republicanism, however, is more white collar in nature, and would by today’s standards be considered […]
Archive | Polling
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2018: (Special Election) Secretary of State’s race poll
A special election is being called this fall for the Louisiana Secretary of State, as Tom Schedler (who held the office ever since Jay Dardenne was elected Lt Governor in 2010) recently resigned that position in the wake of allegations that he had sexually harassed his secretary. This race will be on the November ballot […]
Decision 2018: Texas statewide poll
In national, state, and local elections, there is hardly a more Republican-friendly state than Texas, which hasn’t voted Democratic for President since 1976 and for Governor since 1990. In statewide elections, it has only voted for Republicans for the last two decades. starting with the 1998 re-election landslide of (then) Governor George W. Bush. With […]
Decision 2018: (Special Election) Jefferson Parish Sheriff/ Constable Poll
The late John Maginnis once noted in The Last Hayride that “there was a time in this state when only two political offices really counted: governor and sheriff. Just about everyone else derived power from them or stayed out of the way.” Accordingly, the sheriff of Jefferson Parish (the second largest parish in Louisiana, according […]
Decision 2018: Nebraska statewide poll
In national elections, there is hardly a more Republican-friendly state than Nebraska (which hasn’t voted Democratic since the 1964 LBJ landslide). In statewide elections, it usually (but not always) votes for Republicans. In this poll, JMC tested the re-elect/job favorability numbers for Governor Pete Ricketts and Senator Deb Fischer (who won their last campaigns with […]
Decision 2018: Mississippi U.S. Senate poll – Republican primary
The 1994 midterm election was part of not just a Republican landslide, but arguably was the initiating event of a political realignment in the rural Deep South that swept in many Republicans who before would not have been politically viable. Roger Wicker was one of those GOP House freshmen, and he then (by appointment) ascended […]
Decision 2017/2018: Dissecting the Alabama results
The US Senate special election race in Alabama to replace the seat vacated by Jeff Sessions has finally concluded. Democrat Doug Jones defeated Republican Moore 50-48%. Jones’ margin of victory was 20,700 votes, while another 22,800 Alabamians chose a write-in candidate. From an analysis of the results, what lessons are there to be learned from […]
Decision 2017: (Special Election) Alabama U.S. Senate poll #3 – General Election
For two decades, Jeff Sessions has represented Alabama in the United Senate Senate. Earlier this year, President Donald Trump chose Sessions to be Attorney General, and a special election is being called to fill his vacant seat. Both parties held their primaries on August 15. The Democrats decided on Doug Jones in the primary. The […]
Decision 2017: (Special Election) Alabama U.S. Senate poll #2 – General Election
For two decades, Jeff Sessions has represented Alabama in the United Senate Senate. Earlier this year, President Donald Trump chose Sessions to be Attorney General, and a special election is being called to fill his vacant seat. Both parties held their primaries on August 15. The Democrats decided on Doug Jones in the primary. The […]
Decision 2018: Nevada Republican U.S. Senate poll #2
The state of Nevada was one of the few bright spots for Democrats last year: not only did Hillary Clinton carry the sate 48-46%, but Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto (by a 47-45% margin) kept the seat of former Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in Democratic hands. Furthermore, Democrats picked up two U.S. House seats (winning […]