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Decision 2012 (May 8 Indiana/North Carolina/West Virginia primaries – a bad day to be an incumbent)

Congressional Current Generic Congressional Vote (14 day rolling average): 44-43% Republican Prior Generic Congressional Vote (14 day rolling average): 42-40% Republican The anti-incumbent wave which in 2010 cost 63 Congressmen (7 in the primary and 56 on Election Day) their jobs showed no signs of abating after last night’s primaries in Indiana, North Carolina, and […]

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Decision 2012 (March 14 “Super Southern Tuesday” edition, Part 2 of 2 – Early voting in Louisiana at mid week)

March 24 is the date of Louisiana’s Presidential primary. While there are some local races on the ballot as well, we are limiting our discussion to the Republican Presidential race, as President Obama has minor opposition in the Democratic primary (three opponents qualified in Louisiana to oppose him).

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Decision 2012 (March 14 “Super Southern Tuesday” edition, Part 1 of 2)

Presidential – (1144 delegates to win) Romney 495 (53%), Santorum 252 (27%), Gingrich 131, Ron Paul 48, Huntsman 2 (Source: WSJ) President Obama Job Approval 47-49% (14 day rolling average)   Alabama, Mississippi, and Hawaii

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Decision 2012 (First day of early voting in Louisiana)

March 24 is the date of Louisiana’s Presidential primary. While there are some local races on the ballot as well, we are limiting our discussion to the Republican Presidential race, as President Obama has minor opposition in the Democratic primary (three opponents qualified in Louisiana to oppose him).

Decision 2012 (March 7 “Super Tuesday” edition)

Presidential (1144 delegates to win) Romney 415 (56%), Santorum 176 (24%), Gingrich 105, Ron Paul 47, Huntsman 2 (WSJ) President Obama Job Approval 47-49% (14 day rolling average)     Last night, 10 states held their Presidential contests, and the results seem to indicate two things: (1) the Republican primary contest is very much still […]

Decision 2012 (February 29 edition)

Presidential (1144 delegates to win) Romney 163, Santorum 83, Gingrich 32, Ron Paul 19, Huntsman 2 (WSJ) President Obama Job Approval 47-49% (14 day rolling average)   The ever changing Republican Presidential contest has now swung back to Mitt Romney, although not as decisively as he may have hoped. Despite the apparent inconsistency of the […]