Presidential Now that the Iowa caucus has concluded with an eight vote “victory” for Mitt Romney, what are we to conclude from the results? It is true that Mitt Romney “won” Iowa; however, if you look at the data, you realize that his victory was not that remarkable. For one thing, he essentially maintained his […]
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RSS feed for this sectionLooking back on 2011 and forward to 2012
Looking Back Looking back on 2011, either party can claim to have “won” the elections that were held that year. From the Democratic point of view, special elections in Upstate New York and the victory on the collective bargaining vote in Ohio, combined with the near sweep of statewide elections in Kentucky, are what they believe […]
2011 Elections, October 3 Edition
In our previous installment, we discussed the upcoming elections within and without Louisiana that will be held in October and November. In this article, we will focus only on October elections.
2011 Elections, September 21 Edition
In our previous installment, we analyzed the twin victories for the GOP in two special Congressional elections. In both cases, the “Obama plunge” (explained here) resurfaced – it was a 9 point plunge in New York, while in Nevada, the plunge was 13 points. These types of dilutions in Democratic support, if they continue, will […]
2011 Elections, September 14 Edition (Scott Brown, meet Bob Turner)
Tonight was a very good night for the Republicans, as they were victorious in Congressional special elections that were held both in New York and Nevada. The New York race was nothing short of an upset of Scott Brown proportions, so we will focus on that race today.
2011 Elections, September 11 Edition
In our previous installment, we had noted the onset of Louisiana election season, as well as the fact that Democrats had written off a special House election in Nevada, while getting more nervous about their chances in a special election for a House seat in New York City.
2011 Elections, September 4 Edition
In our previous installment, we noted that Mississippi has decided on its Democratic nominee for Governor, while in Wisconsin, the two Democrats up for recall survived the recall elections, thus leaving the Wisconsin Senate at 17-16 Republican.
2011 Elections, August 29 Edition
In our previous installment, we noted that Democrats only achieved partial success with the attempted recall of six Republican senators. While they did recall two Republicans, one of those was due to personal issues, while the other was merely a case of Democrats mobilizing to defeat an incumbent Republican in a heavily Democratic district – […]
2011 Elections, August 11 Edition
In our previous installment, we had noted that in California, a special election was held that seemed to reaffirm our belief in the “Obama plunge” (i.e., the drop-off in Democrats’ fortunes relative to the 2008 Presidential election) that has continued to show up in most elections since the fall of 2009. July/August elections
2011 Elections – July results
In our previous analysis, we noted that Wisconsin and California were holding elections this month. Now that the first installment of elections has passed, we have some commentary.