Last month, we conducted a “Pulse of Louisiana” poll, and in that poll, we measured the re-elect numbers for President Obama and Senator Landrieu, and we also looked at how her healthcare reform vote has affected her re-elect numbers. (the results of that poll are here).
Archive | National Politics
RSS feed for this section2011 Elections, June 30 Edition (Part 2 of 2)
In the previous installment, we discussed (at a high level) the election landscape across the country between July and September. In this installment, we will discuss elections occurring in the “home stretch” of October and November.
2011 Elections, June 30 Edition (Part 1 of 2)
Even though it seems that this is an “off year” with regards to national elections, there are in fact quite a few elections (governor’s races, legislative elections, recalls, and special elections) that will be held throughout the year that have varying partisan implications. We would like to discuss those upcoming elections and monitor them as […]
JMCEL’s “Pulse of Louisiana” Poll
We recently conducted a statewide poll of likely voters regarding their opinions of President Obama, Senator Landrieu, and Senator Landrieu’s support of healthcare reform. We have posted the poll and/crosstabs here. Below are the summary results: President Obama re-elect: (33-58% Yes/No) Senator Landrieu re-elect: (40-42% Yes/No) Senator Landrieu healthcare vote make more likely to vote […]
Louisiana Congressional District Maps
Without further ado, here are the Congressional maps – we made sure to enlarge areas where parishes were split (generally, but not always, the metropolitan areas).
Louisiana Congressional District Political Statistics
At the 11th hour, the Louisiana Legislature agreed to the Congressional reapportionment plan (with amendments) of Representative Erich Ponti (R-Baton Rouge). We have analyzed the changes and have the following obervations/comments:
Louisiana Legislative Redistricting 2011 – Part 3 (Florida Parishes)
In this installment, we would like to discuss the changes to House and Senate districts in the Florida Parishes with the strong caveat that there may still be last minute changes to the lines by either chamber. There is also the ever present possibility of a gubernatorial veto, and the Justice Department could still reject […]
Louisiana Legislative Redistricting 2011 – Introduction
Every 10 years, states are required to redraw the districts lines for federal, state, and local officeholders. Because Louisiana is one of four states (Virginia, New Jersey, and Mississippi are the others) to have legislative elections this year, redistricting of legislative districts takes on an added urgency this year.
Congressional Redistricting in Louisiana – a modest proposal
The loss of a Congressional seat in Louisiana has complicated the redistricting picture. We have considered the “will of the people” as reported by the media in public/committee hearings, and as such, we have a Congressional reapportionment plan that attempts to please as many of the critics as possible. Specifically, we have heard the following feedback:
Louisiana legislative special elections – GOP controls both houses
Race analysis Tonight, a special election in Acadiana gave the GOP control of both houses of the Louisiana for the first time since Reconstruction. State Representative Jonathan Perry (R-Kaplan) was victorious over Democrat and police juror Nathan Granger by a 52-48% margin, despite Granger’s having a significant financial advantage. This victory was especially impressive, considering […]