JMC Analytics and Polling periodically analyzes voter registration data updated on a monthly basis by the Secretary of State as a means of staying abreast of demographic/population trends in Louisiana. According to the most recent (January 1, 2018) statistical report, statewide voter registration (both active and inactive voters) was 2.98 million, a number that has […]
Archive | Louisiana
RSS feed for this sectionDemographic analysis of the 2016 flood in East Baton Rouge Parish – 17 months later
In August 2016, much of south Louisiana faced massive flooding. In its aftermath, JMC analyzed changes in voter registration both statewide and in East Baton Rouge Parish (voter registration counts were used as a proxy for population change, since recent Census estimates are not yet available) to assess whether the flood’s demographic impact was as […]
Decision 2017: A (runoff) post mortem
The 2017 election cycle in Louisiana has concluded with last night’s runoffs, and Republican former state representative John Schroder is now State Treasurer. However, his 56-44% victory was identical to the margin that Republican Bill Cassidy defeated Mary Landrieu in the 2014 runoffs. There was a unique set of circumstances at play leading to this […]
Decision 2017 – Conclusion of Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana
In person early voting has just concluded for the November 18 runoff. As before, the special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot, as are several unsettled races in New Orleans, a state representative race in Covington for the House seat vacated by John Schroder (who resigned his seat to run for […]
Decision 2017 – “3rd Quarter Report” of Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana
In person early voting is now underway for the November 18 runoff, with two days remaining – due to the Veterans Day holiday’s being tomorrow, an extra day of early voting (Friday, November 3) was added at the beginning. As before, the special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot, as are […]
Decision 2017 – (First two days of) Runoff Early Voting in Louisiana
In person early voting started two days ago for the November 18 runoff – due to the Veterans Day holiday’s being on an early voting date (Friday, November 10), an extra day of early voting (Friday, November 3) was added. As before, the special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot, as […]
Decision 2017: (Special Election) House District 77 Runoff Poll #1
House District 77 is located in western Saint Tammany Parish and includes Covington, Madisonville, and Folsom. This is a district whose political complexion and partisan representation were substantially changed by suburban growth over the last several decades (the district has grown an estimated 26% since 2010). The district map can be found here. Due to […]
Decision 2017: A post mortem
The October 14 primary election has concluded, and Louisiana’s next Treasurer will either be Democratic attorney Derrick Edwards or Republican former (he resigned his seat in June) state representative John Schroder (both face each other in the November 18 runoff). Below is a summary of last night’s election/turnout data, as well as some observations gained […]
Decision 2017: (Special Election) Treasurer’s race poll #4
For nearly two decades, John Kennedy (originally elected in 1999 as a Democrat, and almost a decade later became a Republican) has served as Louisiana’s State Treasurer. In the December 2016 runoff, he was elected to the U.S. Senate, and a special election is being called in October to fill this vacant position. This is […]
Decision 2017 – Conclusion of in person early voting in Louisiana
In person early voting finished yesterday, although mail in/absentee ballots (typically 3-9% of final early vote volume) can still be accepted throughout the upcoming week. The special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot. Also on the ballot are New Orleans municipal elections and various special elections around the state such as […]