Archive | Analysis
RSS feed for this sectionNovember 2010 early voting has begun in Louisiana
Early voting for the Congressional elections/runoff elections for local races started yesterday and will continue until Tuesday, October 26. From examining early voting statistics provided to us by the Secretary of State, there are several things we noticed:
Early analysis of the Louisiana Lieutenant Governor’s Runoff
A week ago, 22% of Louisiana voters voted in the special election for Lieutenant Governor, and in that primary contest, Republican Secretary of State Jay Dardenne finished first with 28%, while Democratic attorney Caroline Fayard finished second with 24%.
Louisiana primary results – Part I (Lt Governor’s race)
Last night, Louisiana held its primary election for local and statewide races, as well as a Republican Congressional runoff for a House seat down in south Louisiana. Though turnout was higher than the August 28 Congressional primary (7% turnout in that race), a paltry 22% showed up to vote last night. In this article, we […]
Soundbites about today’s primary election in Louisiana
(UPDATED 10/2 AM) Today is Election Day in Louisiana. About 79,200 have already voted – this figure includes nearly all of the mail in ballots. 25% of early voters were black, and the party breakdown of the early voters was 54-36-10% Democrat/Republican/Independent (party breakdown by parish here). While the black percentage is relatively high for absentees, […]
A “spin free” projection of GOP Senate gains
How many Senate seats will the GOP gain this fall ? Can the GOP retake the Senate ? And which seats are likely to flip ? Unlike our discussion of House gains, there has been a decent volume of polling in nearly all of the Senate races, with some races having several polls done each week […]
Early Voting in Louisiana concludes for the October primary…….
Louisiana’s primaries (which include the Lt Governor’s race, a Republican Congressional runoff, and various local races) are now less than a week away. Early voting has concluded, although mail in/faxed ballots will still be accepted up until Friday. We kept track of the early voting numbers, and what we’ve noticed so far is as follows:
A “spin free” projection of GOP House gains
How many House seats will the GOP gain this fall ? And which seats are likely to flip ? In general, there has been little specific discussion about this topic, other than political commentators’ giving various estimates, with little in the way of supporting data. In this article, we would like to, using publicly available data, […]
2010 Primary Season statistics
With primary season winding down, there are two things we wanted to show you graphically: (1) The primary vote by party by state, and (2) Current list of House races we’re watching.
Final Thoughts on the U.S. Senate Primary
To provide the most complete picture of Louisiana’s U.S. Senate primary, we wanted to do some more analysis of the vote both at a statewide and a Congressional District level.