Archive | Analysis

RSS feed for this section

Louisiana primary results – Part I (Lt Governor’s race)

Last night, Louisiana held its primary election for local and statewide races, as well as a Republican Congressional runoff for a House seat down in south Louisiana. Though turnout was higher than the  August 28 Congressional primary (7% turnout in that race), a paltry 22% showed up to vote last night. In this article, we […]

Soundbites about today’s primary election in Louisiana

(UPDATED 10/2 AM) Today is Election Day in Louisiana. About 79,200 have already voted – this figure includes nearly all of the mail in ballots. 25% of early voters were black, and the party breakdown of the early voters was 54-36-10% Democrat/Republican/Independent (party breakdown by parish here).  While the black percentage is relatively high for absentees, […]

Early Voting in Louisiana concludes for the October primary…….

Louisiana’s primaries (which include the Lt Governor’s race, a Republican Congressional runoff, and various local races) are now less than a week away. Early voting has concluded, although mail in/faxed ballots will still be accepted up until Friday. We kept track of the early voting numbers, and what we’ve noticed so far is as follows:

A “spin free” projection of GOP House gains

How many House seats will the GOP gain this fall ? And which seats are likely to flip ? In general, there has been little specific discussion about this topic, other than political commentators’ giving various estimates, with little in the way of supporting data. In this article, we would like to, using publicly available data, […]