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Early Voting in Louisiana concludes for the October primary…….

Louisiana’s primaries (which include the Lt Governor’s race, a Republican Congressional runoff, and various local races) are now less than a week away. Early voting has concluded, although mail in/faxed ballots will still be accepted up until Friday. We kept track of the early voting numbers, and what we’ve noticed so far is as follows:

A “spin free” projection of GOP House gains

How many House seats will the GOP gain this fall ? And which seats are likely to flip ? In general, there has been little specific discussion about this topic, other than political commentators’ giving various estimates, with little in the way of supporting data. In this article, we would like to, using publicly available data, […]

The effect of the “Obama plunge” on House elections

The big unanswered question of the 2010 elections is: will the Republicans recapture the House, the Senate, or both ? Currently, the House is controlled by the Democrats 256-179, while the Senate is controlled by the Democrats by a 59-41 margin. Since most of the information about this subject on either side of the political spectrum […]