A week ago, 22% of Louisiana voters voted in the special election for Lieutenant Governor, and in that primary contest, Republican Secretary of State Jay Dardenne finished first with 28%, while Democratic attorney Caroline Fayard finished second with 24%.
Every week, we have been rating congressional and gubernatorial races based on polling data available to us at the time. Today, we would like to reveal the details for you. For Senate/Governor’s races, we will show you the weighted average of polling numbers for the last seven days. For House races, we will show you […]
2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races We are now in the thick of election season. Early voting is now underway in about 15 states. Accordingly, the volume of polling data released has accelerated. Therefore, starting with this analysis, we are basing our calls of individual races on a composite of polls conducted over […]
Last night, Louisiana held its primary election for local and statewide races, as well as a Republican Congressional runoff for a House seat down in south Louisiana. Though turnout was higher than the August 28 Congressional primary (7% turnout in that race), a paltry 22% showed up to vote last night. In this article, we […]
(UPDATED 10/2 AM) Today is Election Day in Louisiana. About 79,200 have already voted – this figure includes nearly all of the mail in ballots. 25% of early voters were black, and the party breakdown of the early voters was 54-36-10% Democrat/Republican/Independent (party breakdown by parish here). While the black percentage is relatively high for absentees, […]
2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races With the exception of a Republican Congressional runoff (and other statewide and local races as well) this Saturday in Louisiana, we are now in the thick of election season. In fact, early voting has already commenced in seven states, and more states will be joining in […]
How many Senate seats will the GOP gain this fall ? Can the GOP retake the Senate ? And which seats are likely to flip ? Unlike our discussion of House gains, there has been a decent volume of polling in nearly all of the Senate races, with some races having several polls done each week […]
Louisiana’s primaries (which include the Lt Governor’s race, a Republican Congressional runoff, and various local races) are now less than a week away. Early voting has concluded, although mail in/faxed ballots will still be accepted up until Friday. We kept track of the early voting numbers, and what we’ve noticed so far is as follows:
2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races We are now in the thick of election season. Hawaii’s primary held last Saturday concludes 2010’s primary season, and we are now seeing polling released at an accelerated pace (Louisiana’s “everything else” primary will be next Saturday, October 2, and early voting concludes tomorrow). We presently […]
Throughout this election cycle, we have seen polls conducted for various races across the country that show that scores of Democrats are in trouble. What about Congressional races closer to home ?