Archive | 2010 Election

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A “spin free” projection of GOP House gains

How many House seats will the GOP gain this fall ? And which seats are likely to flip ? In general, there has been little specific discussion about this topic, other than political commentators’ giving various estimates, with little in the way of supporting data. In this article, we would like to, using publicly available data, […]

2010 Elections, 9/16 edition – House/Senate/Governors polls

2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races Now that “Super Tuesday II” has come and gone, all but Hawaii have chosen their Congressional nominees (Louisiana’s “everything else” primary will be on Saturday, October 2, and early voting starts this Saturday). We are now basing our analyses on a composite of polls conducted over […]

2010 Elections, 9/9 edition – House/Senate/Governors polls

2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races Now that Labor Day has passed, primary season is in the “home stretch”– the eight remaining Congressional primaries will conclude by September 18 (Louisiana’s “everything else” primary will be on Saturday, October 2). We are now basing our analyses on a composite of polls conducted over […]

2010 Elections, 9/1 edition – House/Senate/Governors polls

2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races As the Labor Day weekend approaches, primary season is in the “home stretch” now– the eight remaining Congressional primaries will conclude by September 18 (Louisiana’s “everything else” primary will be on Saturday, October 2). For the past several months, we based our calls on individual races […]