Scorecard
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RSS feed for this section2010 Elections, April 30 Edition
Scorecard
Can Mary Landrieu be defeated in 2014 ?
Historically, incumbent Democratic Senators in Louisiana have rarely worried about their re-election. In fact, in the past 30 years, an incumbent Democrat has only fallen below the 60% mark twice: (1) In 1980, the late Russell Long was re-elected by a 58-39% margin against Woody Jenkins (who was a Democrat back then), and (2) in […]
2010 Elections, April 22 Edition
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2010 Elections, April 16 Edition
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It’s all about the Indepdendents
In a special Congressional election held tonight, the Democrats maintained their control of a staunchly Democratic district in South Florida, despite the GOP nominee’s making this race a referendum on healthcare reform. Are there any lessons to be learned from this 62-35% Democratic victory ?
2010 Elections, April 9 Edition
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2010 Elections, April 1 Edition
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2010 – The Year Of the Landslide ?
Introduction As the fall elections get closer, we’ve been analyzing the likely outcome based on available data like an incumbent’s voting record on controversial items (the stimulus, “cap and trade”, and healthcare reform), his/her 2008 re-election percentage, and the level of support for Barack Obama in those districts. This analysis has been performed while considering […]
More on the “Obama Plunge”
The upset election of Scott Brown to the vacant Senate seat held by the late Teddy Kennedy seemed to be further confirmation of what we described in this post as the “Obama plunge.” This term referred to our belief that the percentage of the vote Barack Obama and/or Democratic Congressional candidates received in 2008 was […]