41 – states whose Congressional filing deadlines have passed (the last filing deadline is Delaware’s, on July 30) 26 – states who have held primaries so far (the last Congressional primary is Hawaii’s, on September 18) 52 – Congressional retirements so far (23 Democrats, 29 Republicans – the recent record was set in 1992, with 70 retirements) 5 […]
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RSS feed for this section2010 Elections, June 22 edition (South Carolina makes history)
Utah Primary, North Carolina/South Carolina Runoffs Tonight, history was made in South Carolina. For the GOP runoff for Governor, state representative Nikki Haley (who is of Indian descent) benefitted in the primary from a backlash against racial slurs used against her (she was referred to as a “rag head”), as well as unproven allegations that she was […]
Midterm Elections Halftime Report/June 22 primary preview
As of today, 25 states have held primaries, and Congressional filing has concluded in 41 states. There will be some more interesting races this upcoming Tuesday, when North Carolina, South Carolina, and Utah hold elections. We are particularly interested in South Carolina and Utah.
Can the GOP retake Nancy’s House (Version 2.0) ?
In a previous posting, we used the following criteria to determine whether we think a Democratic held House seat is vulnerable or not:
Can the GOP retake Nancy’s House ?
Criteria used to estimate GOP House seat gains Over the past few months, we have continually been refining our criteria to determine whether we think a Democratic held House seat is vulnerable or not. At the present time, we have projected a 76 seat House gain for the GOP based on the following criteria:
Three Thoughts about Congressional Turnover
Thought #1: Putting this year’s turnover in perspective
What did “Super Tuesday” tell us ?
If there is one predominant theme from “Super Super Tuesday”, it’s that while incumbents are down, they’re certainly not out.
“Super Tuesday” (June 8) Primary Preview
This upcoming Tuesday will be one of two “Super Super Tuesdays” between now and the November elections (the other will be on September 14). Ten states will be holding primaries, while Georgia is holding an all Republican Congressional special election, and Arkansas is holding runoff elections. Below are the major races we will […]
2010 Elections, May 28 edition (June primary preview)
Scorecard
GOP picks up Democratic held House seat in Hawaii
We have been discussing the Hawaii special election for some time as a prime pickup opportunity for the GOP. Republican Charles Djou (who served on the Honolulu City Council) has won with 40% of the vote. Senate President Colleen Hanabusa, who was endorsed by the Hawaii Democratic organization, finished second with 31% of the vote, […]