Last fall, the GOP scored a historic 63 seat gain in the House (picking up 66 Democratic seats while losing 3 Republican seats). We had predicted this political earthquake as far back as the upset victory of Scott Brown in Massachusetts a year ago, using a set of criteria called the “Obama plunge” (explained in […]
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“Census Day in Louisiana”, Part 2 – Demographic Changes
Several days ago, Census data for Louisiana was released, and we noted here that its population growth was 1.4% over the past decade. We would like to further add to the analysis by noting the changes in racial composition during the last decade:
Today was “Census Day” in Louisiana
In a recent article, we made some assumptions about population trends in Louisiana based on the change in registered voters betwen 2000 and 2010. Now that detailed Census data was released for Louisiana today, we now can quantify the population shifts that have occurred throughout the state in the past decade.
Louisiana legislative special elections – landslide night/tie in the Senate
Tonight, there were special elections in two legislative districts: a house race in New Orleans, and a senate race in Acadiana. Both races were settled tonight in landslides, as the victor in each case was elected with at least 60% of the vote.
“Politics Never Sleeps” in Louisiana – legislative special elections
Last month, we noted that there are three upcoming legislative special elections – two in the state senate and one in the state house. The Senate races are noteworthy because GOP victories in both races would numerically put Republicans in charge of that legislative body. They currently have a 53-48 majority in the state House, […]
2011 Louisiana voter purge/projected impact on reapportionment
Every so often (typically after an election cycle), the Louisiana Secretary of State purges the voter rolls of inactive voters. This is typically a low key affair, but this year’s voter purge was noteworthy because it confirmed something that many have suspected since Hurricane Katrina – Metro New Orleans (particularly Orleans Parish) has lost a significant number […]
Second response to The Baton Rouge Business Report
Funny how public opinion which differs from its own can arouse the ire of the management of The Baton Rouge Business Report. Recently, the Baton Rouge TEA Party hired JMC Enterprises of Louisiana to conduct a three-question poll, which sought East Baton Rouge Parish voters’ opinions on (1) the TEA Party’s efforts to increase public […]
“Politics Never Sleeps” in Louisiana
Since the November elections, the biggest political news in Louisiana has been the party switching of five legislators (three from the state House and two from the state Senate) to the Republican party. These switches have given the Republicans, for the first time since Reconstruction, a numerical majority in the state House, and they are […]
Some thoughts about redistricting
Yesterday, the Census released information detailing how the House of Representatives is to be apportioned between the states. To no one’s surprise, Louisiana is slated to lose one of its its seven House districts, due to lower than normal population growth that has been occurring since the 1980s.
2010 Midterm results: Part 6(C) – Another way of looking at U.S. House races
Now that the last House race (a Democratic held seat in New York that narrowly stayed in the Democratic column) has been settled, the House will now have 242 Republicans and 193 Democrats, which means that the GOP gained a net of 63 seats. We would like to revisit the issue of the Democrats’ hopes […]