After a month’s hiatus, primary season has returned, with four states holding primaries last night, and one state (Ohio) holding a Congressional special election. And again, evidence of a surge in Democratic enthusiasm was evident last night in each and every contest. Ohio CD 12 Special Election This is the last of the Congressional special […]
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Decision 2018: (Partial) Appeals Court Race poll (Old version)
Last year in an appeals court race covering all or parts of five parishes in Northeast Louisiana, Independent “Jimbo” Stephens defeated a Republican candidate 52-48%. The same GOP candidate (Judge Sharon Marchman) is seeking a rematch. JMC was commissioned to poll the Ouachita Parish precincts in the district, since Judge Marchman carried the Ouachita precincts 62-38% […]
Decision 2018: Kansas Governor GOP Primary Poll
Kansas is a state where it is said has three parties: a Democratic party, a “moderate Republican” party, and a “conservative Republican” party. Therefore, the more interesting contests tend to take place within the August Republican primary (the last voter registration statistics are from 2016 and show Republicans with a 44-25% voter registration plurality). There […]
Decision 2018: Tennessee Governor GOP Primary Poll
Tennessee is a Southern state whose partisan divisions were once so predictable that ordinary citizens could recite them by heart (East Tennessee was Republican since the Civil War, Middle Tennessee was “Andrew Jackson Democratic”, and Western Tennessee was an extension of the Deep South (and, therefore, formerly Democratic)). Suburbanization around Nashville, combined with a general […]
Decision 2018: Michigan Governor GOP Primary Poll
Michigan is a Midwestern state with a split political personality. While it steadily voted Democratic for President from 1992 to 2012, it also consistently voted Republican between 1968 and 1988, and it was one of three “Blue Wall” states that surprised many people on Election Night 2016 when it voted for Trump by 10,700 votes. […]
Decision 2018: Is a Democratic wave forming (or dissipating)?
Politically, the 2018 election season is in “half time” right now: as of June 26, 30 states have held their primaries, and primary season doesn’t resume until the Tennessee primary on August 2 (although there are party runoffs in Alabama and Georgia over the next two weeks). There has recently been talk about the Democratic […]
Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday III”, and waiting on California III
While June 5 was a “Superbowl of primaries” (eight primaries were held three weeks ago across the country from New Jersey to California), last night was an important primary night as well, with five states (from New York to Utah) holding primaries, and South Carolina/Mississippi holding runoffs. As with all multistate primary nights, JMC will […]
Decision 2018: Ohio CD 12 (special election) poll
While the state of Ohio nearly always goes with the winning Presidential candidate, the 12th Congressional District (which is located in the middle of the state and consists of areas north and east of Columbus) is a Republican district. Its Republicanism, however, is more white collar in nature, and would by today’s standards be considered […]
Decision 2018: “Super Tuesday II”, and waiting on California II
While June 5 was a “Superbowl of primaries” (eight primaries were held last week across the country from New Jersey to California), last night was an important primary night as well, with five states (from Maine to Nevada) holding primaries. And just like with last week’s article, JMC will focus separately on each state for […]
Decision 2018: (Special Election) Secretary of State’s race poll
A special election is being called this fall for the Louisiana Secretary of State, as Tom Schedler (who held the office ever since Jay Dardenne was elected Lt Governor in 2010) recently resigned that position in the wake of allegations that he had sexually harassed his secretary. This race will be on the November ballot […]