The upset election of Scott Brown to the vacant Senate seat held by the late Teddy Kennedy seemed to be further confirmation of what we described in this post as the “Obama plunge.” This term referred to our belief that the percentage of the vote Barack Obama and/or Democratic Congressional candidates received in 2008 was […]
Aftermath of the 3/21 healthcare vote in the U.S. House
Previously in this post, we assessed the vulnerability of House Democrats by using the following criteria:
2010 Elections, March 19 edition
Scorecard
East Baton Rouge Parish School Board redistricting
Because Central has left the East Baton Rouge Parish school system to form its own school system, the East Baton Rouge Parish School Board was required to redraw its school board districts before the Fall 2010 elections. The School Board voted tonight to reduce the size of the School Board to 11 members (down from the current […]
2010 elections, March 13 edition
Scorecard
2010 Elections, March 4 edition
Scorecard We have recently modified our criteria as to which House Democrats we think are vulnerable. Previously, we used the following criteria:
2010 elections, February 26 edition
Election Scoreboard as of 2/26/2010
The Effect of Term Limits on the 2011 Legislative Elections
Historically, the Democrats had strong majorities in both houses of the Louisiana Legislature. That began to change starting in 1995. At that time, the GOP tidal wave of 1994, which was part of a larger anti-Clinton tidal wave across the South, finally reached Louisiana. That tidal wave was further augmented by a FBI gambling probe […]
2010 Elections, February 17 edition
Starting today, we will periodically keep you updated on the goings ons of Election 2010 by providing you with a scoreboard that graphically displays relevant data related to the fall elections. We will also discuss various happenings as Election 2010 progresses.
“Bayh Bayh” to the Senate Democratic majority ?
When we analyzed what we thought would happen with US House races this year, we looked at the Obama percentage in each district, the voting record of applicable House incumbents on controversial issues, and their 2008 re-election percentage. We deliberately did not perform the same analysis with the US Senate races this fall because: (1) […]