(Note: updated at 10PM 2/12) With the Iowa caucuses behind us, primary season has finally begun with the “first in the nation” New Hampshire primary, and we can finally start to see the Democratic race take shape: Record turnout: In Iowa, Democratic turnout was the second highest ever, but it could be argued that a […]
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RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2020: The Iowa Caucuses
(JMC note: entire article updated for vote counts as of 2/5/2020 PM, then on 2/11/2020 AM) The 2020 election season started off with a whimper (and certainly NOT a bang). Not only was a last minute poll bizarrely cancelled just before its public release, but (one day after the caucusing) we only have partial knowledge […]
Decision 2020: A new year, and a new election cycle
As the decade ends, a new election cycle (both in Louisiana and nationally) is about to begin. And technically (since ballots to overseas voters have already been sent out in New Hampshire) voting has already begun for what will be a multi-dimensional election cycle, with Presidential, Congressional, statewide, and local contests being held. Presidential race […]
Decision 2020: Alabama General Election U.S. Senate Poll
Alabama is a state in the Deep South that once had rock solid allegiance to the Democratic Party, but that allegiance has steadily declined over the past few decades: Republicans have continuously held the Governorship (with two exceptions) since 1986, and between 1996 and 2017, it elected two Republicans to the U.S. Senate. Furthermore, the […]
Decision 2019/2020: Dissecting the North Carolina special election results
The last unsettled Congressional election from 2018 has finally concluded, with Republicans holding onto a US House seat in the Charlotte, NC area that they have held since 1963. Republican Dan Bishop was elected by a 51-49% margin in a race that had to be rerun because of material instances of absentee ballot fraud in […]
Decision 2019: North Carolina 9th Congressional District Poll
Until very recently, the Deep South was solidly Democratic, with only scattered Republican beachheads. One such district is the 9th Congressional District of North Carolina, which is centered in and around Charlotte. This district for decades elected Republicans, although its Republicanism is (by today’s standards) the more moderate variety. Accordingly, Republicans have seen this district […]
Decision 2018: Mississippi Special Election Runoff Poll
While the 2018 elections are wrapping up, there are a few elections left to be held. One of them is a special election race in the Senate race in Mississippi for the seat Thad Cochran held for 40 years. This is a race where JMC Analytics and Polling teamed up both with RRH Elections and […]
Decision 2018: What happened ?
(UPDATED 11/12 PM) Now that America has made its choice with last Tuesday’s midterm elections (although technically, 12 races – 9 of which are House races – have yet to be called), what did the results tell us ? One of the untold stories that needs to be discussed is that we are in the […]
Decision 2018: A tale of two houses (of Congress)
Introduction The 2018 federal election season (with the exception of possible runoffs in Georgia, Louisiana, and Mississippi) is coming to a close. As this article is being written, over 38 million nationally (including a record setting 315K in Louisiana) have already voted either by mail or in person (for comparisons sake, 27 million early voted […]
Decision 2018: Wisconsin 6th Congressional District Poll
The 6th Congressional District of Wisconsin covers the central part of the state roughly between Milwaukee and Green Bay. This is an ancestrally Republican district that in fact (in the town of Ripon) was where the Republican Party was founded, and accordingly the district has elected Republicans to Congress for decades. This is the fourth […]