The last unsettled Congressional election from 2018 has finally concluded, with Republicans holding onto a US House seat in the Charlotte, NC area that they have held since 1963. Republican Dan Bishop was elected by a 51-49% margin in a race that had to be rerun because of material instances of absentee ballot fraud in […]
Archive | National Politics
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2019: North Carolina 9th Congressional District Poll
Until very recently, the Deep South was solidly Democratic, with only scattered Republican beachheads. One such district is the 9th Congressional District of North Carolina, which is centered in and around Charlotte. This district for decades elected Republicans, although its Republicanism is (by today’s standards) the more moderate variety. Accordingly, Republicans have seen this district […]
Decision 2018: Mississippi Special Election Runoff Poll
While the 2018 elections are wrapping up, there are a few elections left to be held. One of them is a special election race in the Senate race in Mississippi for the seat Thad Cochran held for 40 years. This is a race where JMC Analytics and Polling teamed up both with RRH Elections and […]
Decision 2018: What happened ?
(UPDATED 11/12 PM) Now that America has made its choice with last Tuesday’s midterm elections (although technically, 12 races – 9 of which are House races – have yet to be called), what did the results tell us ? One of the untold stories that needs to be discussed is that we are in the […]
Decision 2018: A tale of two houses (of Congress)
Introduction The 2018 federal election season (with the exception of possible runoffs in Georgia, Louisiana, and Mississippi) is coming to a close. As this article is being written, over 38 million nationally (including a record setting 315K in Louisiana) have already voted either by mail or in person (for comparisons sake, 27 million early voted […]
Decision 2018: Wisconsin 6th Congressional District Poll
The 6th Congressional District of Wisconsin covers the central part of the state roughly between Milwaukee and Green Bay. This is an ancestrally Republican district that in fact (in the town of Ripon) was where the Republican Party was founded, and accordingly the district has elected Republicans to Congress for decades. This is the fourth […]
Decision 2018: Colorado 3rd Congressional District Poll
The 3rd District of Colorado is located in the western Colorado and is an economically diverse district covering most of the picturesque Rocky Mountains. In the east is blue collar Pueblo, which has a large Hispanic population, as do some rural counties along the New Mexico border. Throughout the Rockies (in the heart of the […]
Decision 2018 – Conclusion of in person early voting in Louisiana
Early voting finished last night (mail in absentees can still be accepted up to the day before Election Day), and it was a record breaker in several ways. What did early voting this year tell us? Strong turnout/Newton’s Third Law As of last night, a record 307,237 have either early voted by person or by […]
Decision 2018 – “Halftime Report” for Early Voting in Louisiana
We are now at the midway point for in person early voting, now that three days’ worth of early voting in the rear view mirror, with four more days (today/Friday, Saturday, Monday, and Tuesday) to go. What has three days of early voting told us? Turnout remains strong The first day of in person early […]
Decision 2018 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s 10/12 US Senate scorecard – The Road To 51
In the last Senate scorecard published two weeks ago, JMC noted that Republicans’ chances continued to improve to the point that they could feel better about their chances of maintaining their Senate majority. Now that early voting is almost all “full steam ahead” (only parts of Florida and Oklahoma have yet to start in person […]