Until recently, St. George was known locally in Baton Rouge both as a Catholic school/parish and the name of a fire protection district in the southern, unincorporated part of East Baton Rouge Parish. That name today, however, has become a controversial term. So what is “St. George” all about ? To answer this question, some […]
Archive | Analysis
RSS feed for this sectionEast Baton Rouge Parish voter registration trends since 2009
In yesterday’s analysis, we examined voter registration changes in Louisiana since 2009. In this analysis, we will narrow our focus to the swing parish of East Baton Rouge, which is where the state capital is located.
Louisiana voter registration trends since 2009
Periodically, we like to analyze voter registration data provided monthly by the Secretary of State as a means of staying abreast of demographic/population trends in Louisiana. The most recent statistical report was published several days ago, and here’s what we saw:
Upset in the 5th congressional district – what happened ?
There was a congressional runoff tonight in the 5th Congressional district in northeast Louisiana/the Florida Parishes, and in a two Republican race, businessman Vance McAllister was elected in a 60-40% landslide. In analyzing this race, the following three points need to be made:
Decision 2013: “Post Game” analysis
Now that most of the national races have been settled, what are the takeaways? There are four: The political fault lines that have set the “ground rules” for partisan candidates across the country have remained intact, Candidate quality is crucial, The existing fault lines can be breached (even in Democratic areas) if issues important to […]
Ground Zero: Is Baton Rouge City Court a test case for the Voting Rights Act ?
The issue of appropriate minority representation in the legislative and judicial branches of Louisiana government is one that has been litigated for decades, and that litigation has surfaced again, in light of the US Supreme Court’s repealing one of the provisions of the 1965 Voting Rights Act. The repealed provision (also known as “Section 4”) […]
Basic voter targeting – understanding your electorate
Introduction In any political campaign, there is one ultimate measure of success: did your candidate get more votes than your opponent(s) ? To accomplish this goal, staffers/consultants are hired to perform various tasks like media, communications, strategy, polling, and the like.
Massachusetts Senate Race – why lightning didn’t strike twice
The 2010 election cycle, which was one of the most favorable for the Republicans since 1994, had its genesis in heavily Democratic Massachusetts, when a little known state senator named Scott Brown upset the Democratic Attorney General 52-47%. Lightning didn’t strike twice last night: Rep. Ed Markey (a Democrat with 37 years’ seniority in the […]
2012 Louisiana Census Data
Recently, the US Census released interim population estimates showing population changes for all 50 states between April 2, 2010 (the date of the last Census) and July 1, 2012. While this interim count is an estimate, it is useful for tracking population changes throughout the decade to be able to predict future population/demographic changes.
(Proposed) Southeast Baton Rouge school district: can it get 70 votes ?
Background In our previous posting, we had noted that there were several hurdles that had to be cleared before voters could decide whether the southeastern portion of East Baton Rouge Parish would be able to form its own school district. We also noted that it was the House (not the Senate) where the bill has […]