Thought #1: Putting this year’s turnover in perspective
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What did “Super Tuesday” tell us ?
If there is one predominant theme from “Super Super Tuesday”, it’s that while incumbents are down, they’re certainly not out.
“Super Tuesday” (June 8) Primary Preview
This upcoming Tuesday will be one of two “Super Super Tuesdays” between now and the November elections (the other will be on September 14). Ten states will be holding primaries, while Georgia is holding an all Republican Congressional special election, and Arkansas is holding runoff elections. Below are the major races we will […]
2010 Elections, June 1 Edition (A fourth incumbent loses)
Scorecard –
Election Day in Louisiana – May 29 edition
Tonight, special election runoffs were held in two state House districts in Baton Rouge and one in New Orleans. In both of these all Democratic runoffs, the more moderate/less controversial candidate won.
2010 Elections, May 28 edition (June primary preview)
Scorecard
GOP picks up Democratic held House seat in Hawaii
We have been discussing the Hawaii special election for some time as a prime pickup opportunity for the GOP. Republican Charles Djou (who served on the Honolulu City Council) has won with 40% of the vote. Senate President Colleen Hanabusa, who was endorsed by the Hawaii Democratic organization, finished second with 31% of the vote, […]
2010 Elections, May 19 Edition (A final word on Pennsylvania)
Scorecard
A bad day to be an incumbent
Today was a bad day to be an incumbent or an “establishment” candidate. The bad news started yesterday, when the New York Times revealed that Senate candidate Richard Blumenthal (D-Connecticut) fabricated his Vietman experience in speeches with voters (in fact, he received multiple deferments). Suddenly an open seat race thought to be safe for the […]
2010 Election, May 18 edition (“David vs Goliath” primaries)
Tomorrow is primary day in Arkansas, Kentucky, Oregon, and Pennsylvania. Three of the states have significant intraparty primaries that feature an establishment candidate facing an insurgent candidate, and the outcomes of these races will be a good test of the depth of anti-incumbent sentiment: